Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FLUS44 KLZK 031710 AAB
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1100 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-041100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1100 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PATCHY AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO THIN THROUGH MID DAY WITH
ONLY PATCHY AREAS OF FOG BEING SEEN THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT...AGAIN
AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MAINLY CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS. LOW CLOUDS WILL BE SEEN MUCH OF THE DAY. ALSO LIGHT
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM TO
AFFECT ARKANSAS. CHANCES OF RAIN WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT.

A STRONG ARCTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION TONIGHT...
MOVING IN TO ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT. RAIN WILL BECOME LIKELY AHEAD OF
THE BOUNDARY...WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. AT THIS TIME...THE
THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS MINIMAL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE STATE
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP SHARPLY BEHIND THE FRONT.
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FAR NORTH AND NORTHWEST SHOULD BE BELOW
FREEZING. AROUND MID-DAY...THE FREEZING LINE IS EXPECTED TO BE CLOSE
TO I-40 AND THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE OUACHITA MOUNTAINS.
FREEZING TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SEEN IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AROUND
LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING.

THERE WILL BE LIGHTER PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...BUT
MOST OF THE MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL MAINLY BE POST-FRONTAL
AND INCREASING IN COVERAGE AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD MAKE A FAIRLY RAPID TRANSITION TO SLEET...THEN
SNOW IN THE NORTH...MAINLY DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING. OVER THE
CENTRAL PORTION...THE TRANSITION IS EXPECTED BETWEEN MID DAY TO THE
LATE AFTERNOON. IN THE SOUTH...LATE AFTERNOON TO EVENING. THERE WILL
BE MORE VARIATION IN PRECIPITATION TYPE THE FURTHER SOUTH YOU GO.
OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH...THERE WILL LIKELY BE A PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN BEFORE THINGS TRANSITION TO SLEET AND SNOW.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD COME TO AN EARLY THURSDAY MORNING IN THE
NORTH...THEN LATER IN THE MORNING THURSDAY FOR CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS.

THIS WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MEASURABLE SLEET AND
SNOWFALL IN ALL AREAS...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FROM NORTH CENTRAL
INTO EASTERN ARKANSAS. SLEET AND SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE FROM 4 TO 6
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNT IN THE NORTH. THE CENTRAL
PORTION WILL SEE A LONGER PERIOD OF SLEET WITH POSSIBLY A HALF INCH
TO AN INCH OR SO BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SNOW. THEN AROUND 2 TO 4
INCHES OF SLEET AND SNOW...INCLUDING THE LITTLE ROCK METROPOLITAN
AREA.

THE PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN WILL BE LONGEST IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
THIRD OF THE STATE...WHERE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER
INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH A FEW LOCATIONS CLOSER TO THE DELTA
REGION OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS SEEING SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS.

THE SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY CAUSE TRAVEL AND
UTILITY ISSUES. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY TRUE IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE
HIGHER ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AND SLEET AND SNOW ON TOP OF THAT.
ANOTHER THING THAT WILL INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF UTILITY ISSUES
WILL BE THE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT...WHICH WILL BE RATHER GUSTY
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN EASTERN AND
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. IT IS
QUITE LIKELY THAT AREAS WITH THE THICKEST SNOW PACK COULD STAY BELOW
FREEZING ON THURSDAY. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT TO FRIDAY MORNING...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE TEENS
IN MUCH OF THE STATE. NEAR-RECORD OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE POSSIBLE. DRY
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A
WARMING TREND NOTED.

AS ALWAYS...PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT THIS INFORMATION IS BASED ON
THE LATEST COMPUTER MODEL DATA. ANY CHANGE IN THE SPEED OF THE
APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM COULD DELAY OR SPEED UP THE TRANSITION TO
WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THIS POTENTIAL WINTER WEATHER SITUATION...AND PROVIDE
DETAILED AND UPDATED FORECASTS ACCORDINGLY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

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