Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FLUS44 KLZK 022151 AAA
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
351 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-031100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
351 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WITH A WARM FRONT SOUTH OF ARKANSAS...LIGHT RAIN AND PATCHY FOG ARE
EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE FOG COULD PROVIDE SOME DRIVING CHALLENGES
TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY ON TUESDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHES ARKANSAS. AT THIS TIME...THE THREAT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS MINIMAL.

CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN A ROUND OF WINTER WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT

THE STRONG ARCTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE...MOST
LIKELY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP SHARPLY BEHIND THE FRONT. MOST AREAS WILL START OUT IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S TUESDAY EVENING. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...HOWEVER...
THE FAR NORTH SHOULD FALL BELOW FREEZING. THE CENTRAL PORTION SHOULD
BE BELOW FREEZING AROUND MID-DAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA FALLING BELOW FREEZING BY LATE AFTERNOON OR
EARLY EVENING.

MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM IS MAINLY POST-FRONTAL...WITH
PRECIPITATION INCREASING IN COVERAGE AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD MAKE A FAIRLY RAPID TRANSITION TO SLEET THEN
SNOW IN THE NORTH DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND IN THE CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE STATE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. PRECIPITATION WILL
LIKELY MAKE A SLOWER TRANSITION IN THE SOUTH...MOST LIKELY AROUND
LATE AFTERNOON OR THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

THIS WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MEASURABLE SNOWFALL IN ALL
AREAS...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE STATE. AT THIS POINT...IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS COULD EXCEED FOUR INCHES.

THERE COULD BE A VERY BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AS PRECIPITATION
TRANSITIONS...AT LEAST IN THE NORTH AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE
STATE. IF ANY FREEZING RAIN DOES OCCUR...AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT GIVEN THE RAPID TRANSITION OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO SLEET
AND SNOW.

PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...WITH COLD TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING. IT IS QUITE LIKELY THAT AREAS WITH THE THICKEST SNOW
PACK COULD STAY BELOW FREEZING ON THURSDAY. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE
TEENS IN MUCH OF THE STATE.

PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT THIS INFORMATION IS BASED ON THE LATEST
MODEL DATA. BEING THAT THE EXPECTED EVENT IS STILL A COUPLE OF DAYS
OUT...THE FORECAST IS LIKELY TO CHANGE TO A CERTAIN DEGREE.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THIS POTENTIAL WINTER WEATHER SITUATION...AND PROVIDE
DETAILED AND UPDATED FORECASTS ACCORDINGLY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

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