228
FNUS53 KDTX 100706
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
306 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.DISCUSSION...Drier and cooler Friday with min RH values falling into
the 30s. A stray light shower or drizzle possible Friday evening
though chances are low. Widespread showers arrive early Saturday
morning with showers and storms possible throughout most of the day.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-102115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
306 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming west early in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7320-7820 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming west early in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1042).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am until 5 am, then rain
                    showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70
                    percent.
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West around 10 mph becoming northwest 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3680-4180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph becoming northwest
                    around 25 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (923).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-102115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
306 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7240-7740 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (963).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 70
                    percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 11 am. Chance of showers after
                    11 am. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 10 mph becoming northwest in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3230-3730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph becoming northwest in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (882).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-102115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
306 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7660-8160 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1086).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am until 5 am, then rain
                    showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70
                    percent.
Min temperature.....44-48.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm
                    until 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming northwest 15
                    to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4780-5280 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1261).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs
in the lower 70s.

$$

KDK