Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 172314
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
514 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

.DISCUSSION...

See 00z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Low ceilings will linger over HOB for maybe an hour or two more
but then are expected to clear out of the area. VFR conditions
will prevail afterwards. Winds will be light out of the south
through the overnight period then will become more southwesterly
Thursday afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 126 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Cold temperatures will continue tonight as a large surface high
pressure center moves across the lower Mississippi valley. A weak
upper level disturbance, currently located across New Mexico,
will track across the Big Bend overnight bringing a slight chance
of snow to the Big Bend. Since the atmosphere is moisture starved
no significant accumulation is expected.

Beyond tonight moderating temperatures are expected through Friday
due to an upper level ridge moving over the area. A surface trough
will intensify especially Friday and this trough combined with
downslope flow should boost temperatures to above normal values.

Much above normal temperatures will continue Saturday ahead of a
potent Pacific storm system. The corresponding surface trough/low
will continue to intensify with continued downslope flow and low
level thermal ridging.

Guidance is in decent agreement tracking the Pacific system across
the central rockies and plains on Sunday. Windy to very windy
conditions will likely develop with high winds in the mountains.
Advisory level winds (and blowing dust) in much of the plains
look likely as well. A Pacific front will knock temperatures back
to near normal values Sunday.

Beyond Sunday dry with near normal temperatures are expected in
zonal flow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     21  51  28  68 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       20  55  25  70 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         25  51  27  67 /  10  20   0   0
Fort Stockton                  25  52  33  72 /   0  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 24  50  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          17  49  25  68 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          21  53  23  65 /  10   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           21  49  28  67 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         21  49  28  68 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           20  53  25  71 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/


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