000
FXUS64 KMEG 142012
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
312 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013

.DISCUSSION...

SFC HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL SHIFT EAST
TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...THE UPPER RIDGE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER
EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL SHIFT EAST-SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AS A RESULT. THE SFC HIGH
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES COOL FOR ONE MORE NIGHT WITH READINGS
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. BY SATURDAY...WINDS WILL TURN
AROUND TO SOUTH AND WITH THE UPPER RIDGE CENTERED MORE OVER THE
MIDSOUTH...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RETURN TO THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER
90S FOR HIGHS.

UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN ON SUNDAY. WOULDN/T BE SURPRISED
TO SEE A FEW DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP BUT BETTER CHANCES MAY
OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT AS NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT MAY BRING A MCS INTO
THE CWA OVERNIGHT. IN ADDITION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA ON MONDAY AND WILL BRING ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. WILL CONTINUE WITH LIKELY ON MONDAY FOR MUCH OF THE
CWA. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. CLOUDS AND
CONVECTION WILL KEEP HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA.

SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD BACK INTO THE AREA FOR
WEDNESDAY. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S. LOWS WILL BE IN THE
60S. THEREAFTER...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT RETURNS TO THE AREA AND
THERE WILL BE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AS THE CWA FOR AT LEAST DIURNAL CONVECTION. HIGHS
WILL RETURN TO THE UPPER 80S INTO THE LOWER 90S.

KRM

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAF CYCLE

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR MOST THE PERIOD. SOME PATCHY FOG
WILL BE POSSIBLE AT KMKL LATE TONIGHT. E/NE WINDS AT 10 KTS WILL
DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.

SJM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  67  91  73  93 /   0   0  10  30
MKL  57  88  67  92 /   0   0  10  30
JBR  66  90  69  91 /   0   0  10  40
TUP  60  89  71  93 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$