Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 162106
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
306 PM CST Sat Dec 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A fast moving system bring a wetting rain to the Mid-South late
tonight into Sunday morning. Temperatures will warm above normal
next week as another system brings more rain to the area Tuesday
into Wednesday. A cold front will move through Friday ushering in
colder air. Precipitation chances also return through the weekend
with some winter weather possible across at least parts of the
Mid-South.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-171130-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
306 PM CST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     90           60           0            0
Precip Type           rain         rain         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.25         0.10         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      7            5
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   12 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      40 (+9)      51 (-3)      42           61
RH % (24h Trend)      96 (+6)      75 (+36)     100          60
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SE 3-7                    SW 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 3-7        S 2-6        Lgt/Var      SW 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 388                       629
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1274                      2064
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 474                       716
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1555                      2349
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  3                     SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  6                     SW 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1422                      3580
Category Day                       1                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              47                        50
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  4                      SW  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S  9                      SW 13
Dispersion Index      14           22           7            25
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  3            2            3            4
Stability             E            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 40s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
40s. North winds around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
around 40. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs around
50. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain or snow. Mostly cloudy. Lows
around 30. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of rain or snow. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 30s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-171130-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
306 PM CST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     90           60           0            0
Precip Type           rain         rain         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.40         0.11         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      7            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   12 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      41 (+10)     54 (+1)      44           62
RH % (24h Trend)      96 (+7)      74 (+33)     100          63
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SE 4-8                    Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 2-6        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 397                       450
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1302                      1475
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 459                       512
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1506                      1679
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  3                     SW  4
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  7                     SW  8
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1377                      2048
Category Day                       1                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              51                        52
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  4                      SW  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S  9                      SW  9
Dispersion Index      12           18           7            18
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  3            2            3            3
Stability             D            C            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph becoming north
in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain or snow. Cloudy. Lows in the
lower 30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
40s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-171130-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
306 PM CST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     60           90           0            0
Precip Type           rain         rain         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.05         0.20         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      5            7
Precip Begins         12 AM        Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      38 (+8)      50 (-2)      42           60
RH % (24h Trend)      93 (+7)      75 (+35)     100          60
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SE 3-7                    Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 2-6        S 2-6        Lgt/Var      SW 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 265                       511
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                871                       1678
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 386                       632
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1268                      2075
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  3                     SW  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  7                     SW 13
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1158                      3792
Category Day                       1                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              47                        51
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  6                      SW  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 14                      SW 14
Dispersion Index      6            23           5            26
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            2            2            4
Stability             E            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 40s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Highs around
60. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph becoming northeast after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph becoming
northwest in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain or snow. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the lower 30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Highs around 40.
Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-171130-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
306 PM CST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           90           0            0
Precip Type           rain         rain         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.08         0.25         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            7
Precip Begins         12 AM        Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      39 (+8)      52 (0)       43           61
RH % (24h Trend)      95 (+11)     74 (+34)     100          60
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SE 3-7                    Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 2-6        Lgt/Var      SW 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 206                       387
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                676                       1271
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 327                       508
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1073                      1668
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  3                     SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  7                     SW 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  981                       2540
Category Day                       1                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              50                        51
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  6                      SW  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 14                      SW 10
Dispersion Index      8            17           5            22
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  3            2            3            4
Stability             E            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming
northwest in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain or snow. Cloudy. Lows in the
lower 30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
40s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-171130-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
306 PM CST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     90           80           10           0
Precip Type           rain         rain         rain         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.37         0.27         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      7            7
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      41 (+13)     56 (+3)      44           63
RH % (24h Trend)      97 (+4)      72 (+33)     100          62
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                SE 4-8                    Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 324                       368
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1064                      1207
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 396                       440
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1300                      1443
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  2                     SW  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  3                     SW  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  792                       1320
Category Day                       1                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              55                        56
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  5                     SW  2
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 11                     SW  5
Dispersion Index      17           18           6            8
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  3            2            3            3
Stability             E            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain likely. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 63 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming north
in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain likely. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-171130-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
306 PM CST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     70           90           20           10
Precip Type           rain         rain         rain         rain
Precip Amount (in)    0.05         0.47         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      5            7
Precip Begins         12 AM        Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      39 (+13)     52 (0)       43           62
RH % (24h Trend)      95 (+5)      74 (+35)     100          62
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                E 3-7                     Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 2-6        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 89                        297
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                293                       974
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 213                       421
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                699                       1381
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  2                      SW  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                S  5                      SW  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  426                       1263
Category Day                       1                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              56                        54
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  6                      SW  2
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 14                      SW  6
Dispersion Index      11           12           2            9
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  3            2            4            4
Stability             E            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Light and variable winds.
.TUESDAY...Rain likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain likely. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph becoming light and variable.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s.
Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain likely. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SJM



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