Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
000
FNUS54 KMEG 181122
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
622 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY LOCATED ACROSS THE MID SOUTH WILL RESULT IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 80S ALONG THE
TENNESSEE RIVER AND LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
MEANWHILE...LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES.
RAIN FREE WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. THIS WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO
AROUND 90 DEGREES.
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY RETURN BY
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION ON WEDNESDAY. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST INTO NEXT FRIDAY AS THE FRONT STALLS OUT ACROSS THE REGION.
HIGH TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 80S WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S.
ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-182315-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
622 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 10 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 1
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM
PRECIP ENDS 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 85 (+9) 69 (+5) 89
RH % (24H TREND) 59 (-14) 97 (-3) 50
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) E 2-6 S 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 4-8 SW 3-7 S 8-12
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1442 1159
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4732 3801
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1528 1245
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 5014 4083
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 S 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 S 23
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9168 12450
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 78 83
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 4 S 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 9 S 19
DISPERSION INDEX 39 26 67
LAL 3 3 2
LASI 3 3 4
STABILITY B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 2 0 0
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-182315-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
622 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 0 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM
PRECIP ENDS 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 86 (+5) 69 (+3) 90
RH % (24H TREND) 60 (-5) 100 (+1) 50
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 2-6 S 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 4-8 S 3-7 S 8-12
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1255 1073
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4117 3521
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1317 1135
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 4321 3725
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 7 S 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 S 25
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9219 12485
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 79 82
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 6 S 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 13 S 20
DISPERSION INDEX 44 21 64
LAL 3 3 1
LASI 3 3 4
STABILITY B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 1 0 0
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-182315-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
622 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 20 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.05 0.06 0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 1
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 83 (+12) 67 (+4) 88
RH % (24H TREND) 60 (-21) 99 (-1) 53
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SW 4-8 SW 3-7 S 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1570 1074
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5150 3524
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1691 1195
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 5547 3921
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 S 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 S 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10146 11950
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 76 82
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 4 S 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 9 S 18
DISPERSION INDEX 40 23 64
LAL 3 3 3
LASI 3 3 4
STABILITY B E B
STAGNATION INDEX 2 0 0
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-182315-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
622 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 20 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.05 0.03 0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 1
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (+9) 68 (+4) 89
RH % (24H TREND) 60 (-16) 99 (-1) 51
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 2-6 S 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 5-9 S 3-7 S 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1408 1277
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4621 4190
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1530 1398
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 5018 4587
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 S 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 S 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9180 11184
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 77 82
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 S 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 11 S 18
DISPERSION INDEX 39 28 61
LAL 3 3 2
LASI 3 3 4
STABILITY B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 1 0 0
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-182315-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
622 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 0 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.12 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM
PRECIP ENDS 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 86 (+6) 69 (+2) 90
RH % (24H TREND) 59 (-11) 100 (+1) 51
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 3-7 S 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 4-8 S 3-7 S 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1196 1216
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3923 3990
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1268 1288
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 4159 4225
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 8 S 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 S 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10144 12880
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 78 81
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 S 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 15 S 18
DISPERSION INDEX 44 22 58
LAL 3 3 1
LASI 3 4 4
STABILITY B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 0 1 0
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-182315-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
622 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 20 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.50 0.02 0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 1
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (+8) 68 (+2) 89
RH % (24H TREND) 60 (-16) 100 (0) 52
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 3-7 S 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 5-9 S 3-7 S 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1115 1340
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3659 4395
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1239 1463
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 4065 4801
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 S 7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 S 15
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7434 10241
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 76 80
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 S 7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 15 S 15
DISPERSION INDEX 43 19 50
LAL 4 3 2
LASI 3 3 4
STABILITY C F B
STAGNATION INDEX 0 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
JLH
- National Weather Service
- Memphis, TN Weather Forecast Office
- 7777 Walnut Grove Road, OM1
- Memphis, TN 38120
- (901) 544-0399
- Page Author: MEG Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: sr-meg.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: May 1st, 2013 15:32 UTC