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NWXX04 KWNP 131356
ADVOUT

Official Space Weather Advisory issued by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
Boulder, Colorado, USA

SPACE WEATHER ADVISORY OUTLOOK #24-20
2024 May 13 at 7:51 a.m. MDT (2024 May 13 1351 UTC)

**** SPACE WEATHER OUTLOOK ****

Summary For May 6-12

R1 (Minor) and R2 (Moderate) radio blackouts were observed on 06-12 May due to flaring activity associated with Regions 3663, 3364, and most recently, Region 3679. R3 (Strong) radio blackouts were also observed on 06-12 May, with the exception of 07 May when it only reached R2 (Moderate) levels. All activity that occurred during this time were associated with Regions 3663 and 3664.

S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm levels were reached on 10 May and continued through 12 May.
A 100 MeV proton event also occurred on 11 May and lasted through 12 May.

Periods of G1 (Minor) to G5 (Extreme) geomagnetic storm levels were reached on 10-12 May. All activity was associated with CME influence from multiple flares from Regions 3663 and 3664.

Outlook For May 13-19

R1 (Minor) to R3 (Strong) radio blackouts are expected on 13-16 May as Region 3364 rotates around the west limb. There is a chance for R1 (Minor) conditions from 17-19 May.as additional spot groups transit the solar disk.

S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms are expected on 13 May, then reduce to a chance for S1 storms on 14-15 May as Region 3664 rotates beyond the west limb.

G3 (Strong) geomagnetic storms are likely on 13 May, with G1 (Minor) storms likely on 14 May as CMEs associated with the flares from 11-13 May impact Earth. Barring additional flaring activity, geomagnetic conditions should return to quiet to unsettled levels on 15-19 May.



Space Weather Prediction Center links
Current space weather conditions http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/communities/space-weather-enthusiasts
Alerts http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings
Outlook http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/space-weather-advisory-outlook

Data used to provide space weather services are contributed by NOAA,
USAF, NASA, NSF, USGS, the International Space Environment Service (ISES)
and other observatories, universities, and institutions. For more
information, including email services, see SWPC`s Space Weather
Prediction Center Web site http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ or (303) 497-3171.