Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
681 FNUS52 KILM 031908 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 308 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .DISCUSSION... Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop this weekend as due to several upper level disturbances and localized low pressure. High pressure will build overhead by Tuesday with well above normal temperatures likely during the middle and late portions of next week. Rain chances increase towards the end of next week due to an approaching frontal system. Fog potential for tonight is High. NCZ105>110-041115- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 308 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 20 20 40 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 2 2 2 Min/Max Temp 62 81 63 81 Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 99 60 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 S 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 6 SE 4 S 8 Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02 Precip Duration 1 1 2 Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0900 2000 67/0700 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 5 4 4 3 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 3700 Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 59200 ADI Early 38 Fair 35 Fair 55 Gen Good 48 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 61 Good 8 Poor 60 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 8 Max LVORI Late 9 2 8 2 Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 0 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 0 Fog 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-041115- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 308 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 60 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 63 83 64 82 Max/Min RH (%) 100 53 100 58 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 S 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 SE 4 S 8 Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.07 Precip Duration 1 1 4 Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 70/0900 2000 67/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 3 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 3800 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68600 60800 ADI Early 56 Gen Good 38 Fair 57 Gen Good 47 Gen Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 63 Good 8 Poor 55 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 8 5 8 Max LVORI Late 9 1 8 2 Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 0 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 0 Fog 7 7 Turner Stability E B D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-041115- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 308 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30 50 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 63 82 64 81 Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 100 64 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 SE 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 6 SE 4 S 8 Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.08 Precip Duration 1 2 2 Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 71/0900 2000 70/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 5 4 4 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 3800 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 57000 ADI Early 42 Gen Good 40 Fair 53 Gen Good 47 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 57 Gen Good 9 Poor 55 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 7 8 6 8 Max LVORI Late 9 2 8 3 Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 0 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 0 Fog 7 7 Turner Stability F B D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-041115- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 308 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 40 40 60 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 4 4 3 Min/Max Temp 63 82 63 82 Max/Min RH (%) 99 56 100 60 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 S 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SE 4 S 7 Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.10 Precip Duration 2 2 5 Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 68/0800 2000 69/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 4 4 4 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4400 Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49200 61600 ADI Early 53 Gen Good 37 Fair 34 Fair 51 Gen Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 44 Gen Good 9 Poor 58 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 8 6 8 Max LVORI Late 8 2 8 3 Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 0 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 0 Fog 6 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability E B D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...VAO