Text Products for FWS Issued by DVN

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL
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000
FNUS73 KDVN 151904
FWSDVN

Spot Forecast for Manchester Hatchery Prairie Burn...Iowa DNR
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
204 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the
National Weather Service Quad Cities at (563) 386-3815.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions continue today before a large system moves in for
tonight, lasting through early Wednesday, bringing widespread
showers and thunderstorms Tuesday and Tuesday night. For today,
abundant sunshine will once again help minimum RH values dip to the
20 to 30 percent range. Easterly winds around 10 to 15 mph are
expected to develop late this morning lasting into the evening
hours.

Widespread rainfall is expected with the upcoming system, with total
rainfall amounts between 1 to 2 inches likely, with heaviest
rainfall expected north of the Highway 30 corridor. Fire danger
threat will remain low throughout the area this week.

The Grassland Fire Danger Index -GFDI- does not account for
precipitation that occurs or any snow on the ground. Please
make appropriate adjustments.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...None
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Max apparent temp...75.
Eye level winds.....East winds 6 to 7 mph.
Wind shift..........None
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 16 mph.
GFDI................6.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1
Temp............74  75  75
RH..............26  26  27
Aparnt tmp (F)..74  75  75
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..12  10  10
20 FT wind gust.14  13  16
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   6   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   8   10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 4.0 3.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  14  16
GFDI............6   5   6
Haines index....5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 3 am. Chance of rain showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................2.
Begin/end of pcpn...4 AM
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........62 percent.
Max apparent temp...74.
Eye level winds.....East winds 5 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 36 mph.
Wind shift..........None
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 18 mph. Gusts up to 36 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 24 mph.
GFDI................7.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........1      3      21     23     43     68
Weather cov.....                                   CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                                   S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      2
Temp............74     65     60     58     55     52
RH..............29     42     49     53     55     56
Aparnt tmp (F)..74     65     60     58     55     52
20 ft wind......E 12   E 9    E 12   E 13   E 15   E 18
20 ft wind gust.18     20     25     26     29     36
Eye level wind..E 7    E 5    E 7    E 8    E 9    E 11
Eye lvl wnd gst.11     12     15     16     17     22
Mix hgt (ft)....3900   500    500    600    600    700
Transport wind..E 17   E 15   E 18   E 20   E 23   E 24
GFDI............7      4      5      5      6      9
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers
                    with thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................5
Begin/end of pcpn...Rain possible entire period
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Max apparent temp...65.
Eye level winds.....Breezy. East winds 12 to 16 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 11 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusts up to 40 mph.
Wind shift..........None
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. East winds 20 to 26 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 18 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusts up to 40 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the morning and early
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 24 to 33 mph decreasing to around 24
                    mph late in the afternoon.
GFDI................12.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........89     93     94     92     95     94
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).40     50     50     60     80     100
LAL.............2      3      3      3      4      5
Temp............51     51     54     59     64     65
RH..............56     57     61     64     68     80
Aparnt tmp (F)..45     44     54     59     64     65
20 ft wind......E 20   E 22   E 22   E 24   SE 23  SE 22
20 ft wind gust.33     38     39     40     40     40
Eye level wind..E 12   E 13   E 13   E 14   SE 14  SE 13
Eye lvl wnd gst.20     23     23     24     24     24
Mix hgt (ft)....800    1200   1500   1500   1700   1300
Transport wind..E 24   E 29   SE 32  SE 36  SE 37  SE 30
GFDI............8      11     11     13     13     11
Haines index....5      4      4      4      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Gibbs
Requested by...Kyle Frommelt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410975.0/DVN
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
