Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
733
FNUS74 KMOB 091137
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Chick 447 448...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
637 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible at the burn
site, mainly during the late morning through early afternoon
hours. Any storm that does develop will be capable of producing
damaging wind gusts and large hail. Outside of thunderstorms,
mixing heights will rise well above critical thresholds by this
afternoon. Transport winds will remain from the southwest up to
around 15 mph.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not anticipated at this
time.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...701-1372 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....40.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70 64 63 63 65 68 64 63
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 40 30 30 30 30 30
LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............81 83 87 88 89 90 91 91
RH..............82 77 68 66 64 62 60 60
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW WSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..13 12 10 10 10 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.20 18 16 16 15 15 14 15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.8 3.2 3.9 4.0 4.5 4.1 4.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.2
Transp wind dir.SW SW WSW SW WSW WSW SW SSW
Transp wind spd.15 15 13 12 12 10 9 10
Trans wind dir..SW SW WSW SW WSW WSW SW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).7 7 6 5 5 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..36 37 41 44 43 41 41 41
LVORI...........4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
thunderstorms and showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 1 until 2200, then 3 until
0100, then 5 until 0400, then 3.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 9 mph shifting to the north
around 9 mph after 3 am, then shifting to the
west 7 to 8 mph after 3 am. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the late evening and
overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1250 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest 8
to 12 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.South around 4 meters/second shifting to the
southwest 4 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....41 decreasing to 9.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59 58 60 69 81 83 86 88 88 92 91 87
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30 10 10 10 30 30 30 80 80 80 50 50
LAL.............3 1 1 1 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 3
Temp............89 86 81 79 77 77 75 75 72 71 70 69
RH..............64 70 82 88 90 90 97 94 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S SSE S S S S S SSW S NNW SW W
20 FT wind spd..9 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 10 9 8
20 FT wind gust.14 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 15 17 15 13
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.8
Mix hgt (km)....1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S SSW S WSW SW WSW
Transp wind spd.9 9 9 10 10 12 10 12 9 12 9 8
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S SSW S WSW SW WSW
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 5 4 4
Dispersion idx..41 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 9 10 8 7
LVORI...........1 4 4 6 7 7 8 7 8 8 8 8
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
early in the morning. Chance of showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................3 until 0700, then 2 until 1300, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph shifting to the
northwest 7 to 10 mph in the late morning and
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
in the morning.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1676 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest 8 to
17 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 3 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 73.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78 77 75 77 76 68 52 35 25 16 8 8
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50 40 40 40 40 40 40 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............68 68 69 71 75 79 82 84 85 86 86 85
RH..............100 100 100 97 82 72 63 55 50 45 43 43
20 FT wind dir..WSW WNW WNW NW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 12 12 12
20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 13 15 15 17 18 18 18 18 18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.2 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.8 3.7 4.5 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7
Transp wind dir.W W WNW NW NNW N NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
Transp wind spd.7 7 8 8 9 9 12 14 16 17 17 15
Trans wind dir..W W WNW NW NNW N NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
Trans spd (m/s).3 3 4 4 4 4 5 6 7 8 8 7
Dispersion idx..6 8 11 18 25 32 49 62 72 72 74 74
LVORI...........8 8 7 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...73
Requested by...Rodney Landrum
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413578.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Rodney.landrum@usda.gov