Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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Spot Forecast for Greenbrier Admin Pile Burn...USFS
National Weather Service Charleston WV
826 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Mainly dry today once morning rain exits southeast, outside of a few
pop-up showers possible near the mountains. Dry conditions continue
until another system approaches late on Friday into the weekend.

Temperatures will remain seasonably tomorrow, and while there will
be ample sunshine and RH values below 40 percent tomorrow, winds
are forecast to remain fairly light.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph early
                    in the afternoon, then shifting to the north
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 5 mph in the late morning and
                    early afternoon, then shifting to the west 3 to
                    5 mph early in the afternoon shifting to the
                    north around 2 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................5 to 28.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  38  36  34  33  31  35  34  33  32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............35  39  44  48  52  55  58  58  59  60
RH..............100 91  74  65  55  49  45  43  42  42
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   NW  N
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.4   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 2.1 2.8 3.2 4.2 5.1 5.7 5.3 5.2 4.9
Transp wind dir.E   SE  S   S   SW  SW  W   W   N   N
Transp wind spd.3   3   5   5   5   5   5   3   2   2
LVORI...........9   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............5   11  15  19  24  27  28  21  17  16
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 5 mph early in the evening.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 to 4.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........35  39  42  38  35  31  32  32  33  35  38  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  55  53  50  47  44  43  42  41  40  40  39
RH..............46  51  57  65  74  84  86  89  91  92  94  96
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   8
ADI.............2   2   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................0 to 13.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  49  53  53  52  52  51  51  50  57  64  71
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  40  41  44  47  50  52  54  56  56  56  57
RH..............94  90  81  72  62  57  53  46  42  39  36  35
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   8   9   9   10  8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.6   6   8   10  11  13  14  14  14  14  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   8   10  10  10  9   8   8   9   9
LVORI...........6   6   5   6   6   4   4   4   3   3   3   3
ADI.............7   10  13  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2

$$
Forecaster...FK
Requested by...Colleen Urffer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412196.0/RLX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Colleen.urffer@usda.gov


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