Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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FXUS63 KMKX 161629
AFDMKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1029 AM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

.UPDATE...

Busy morning here, so will keep things brief. Surface and pavement
temperatures in Milwaukee/Racine/Kenosha Counties are rising, and
calls to area officials suggest improvement in road conditions.
Therefore current plans are to let the Winter Weather Advisory
expire in these areas at noon, as precip type transitions to all
rain through the afternoon.

Seeing a warm push into our far south, with air temperatures
rising to around freezing. Pavement temperatures are still below
freezing however, and road impacts should continue in these areas into
at least early afternoon. Still some uncertainty in our west
central, from Lone Rock to near Madison, regarding pavement
temperatures and how quickly/if they can make it to freezing this
afternoon. Winter Weather Advisory continues in these areas until
6 PM.

Next batch of moisture associated with a low pressure system over
Kansas is currently pushing north across Iowa this morning. This
precipitation should reach our area by mid afternoon, with the
best chances for additional freezing rain northwest of Milwaukee.
The greatest icing potential remains across far northwestern parts
of our service area into tonight.


&&

.AVIATION/18Z TAFS/...

Surface temperatures have warmed to near/above freezing in the
far southeast, and precipitation should transition towards light
rain or drizzle in these areas this afternoon, including at MKE
and ENW. Threat for additional icing continues elsewhere with
subfreezing surface and pavement temps. Seeing a lull this
morning, but expect precip to pick up again from the southwest by
early to mid afternoon. Ceilings and visibilities will continue
dropping into tonight.

&&

.MARINE...

Surface winds will become onshore through the early afternoon as low
pressure in Kansas tracks northeast.  Wind speeds will increase this
afternoon and tonight as the low approaches, however wind gusts
are expected to remain mostly below Small Craft Advisory levels.
Areas of fog will develop over Lake Michigan as warm, more humid air
moves in from the south.  Some of the fog may become dense tonight
into Tuesday morning as winds diminish due to the proximity
of the passing low pressure system.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until noon CST today for WIZ066-071-072.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until 6 PM CST this evening for
     WIZ062>065-067>070.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until 6 AM CST Tuesday for WIZ046-047-
     051-052-056>060.

LM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...SPM/MBK
TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...Hentz
Tuesday THROUGH Sunday...Collar


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