Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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000
FXUS63 KMKX 210828
AFDMKX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
328 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...COMING SOON...

.SHORT TERM...MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS HIGH.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING EASTWARD
FROM SOUTHWESTERN IOWA TO THE NORTHEASTERN USA. A RIDGE AT 500 MB
SLOWLY MOVES EAST INTO THE AREA AS WELL. AREA FORECAST SOUNDINGS
DURING THIS TIME ARE QUITE DRY ACROSS THE AREA. THESE FEATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD SLOWLY MODIFY DURING THIS PERIOD...AS STEADY
WARM AIR ADVECTION HELPS BRING MILDER AIR INTO THE AREA. LIGHT
WINDS AND STRONG INVERSION EACH NIGHT SHOULD BRING FOG TO THE
WISCONSIN RIVER VALLEY AND LOW LYING AREAS.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY....FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
HIGH.

GFS/ECMWF SHOW A 500 MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH SLOWLY MOVING EAST INTO
THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING. ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS FEATURE SHOULD REMAIN TO THE WEST OF THE
AREA.

OTHERWISE...500 MB HIGH DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD ALLOW HIGH PRESSURE
TO THE EAST TO REMAIN IN PLACE...AND KEEPS THE AREA DRY. THIS
SHOULD ALLOW FOR MILD DAYS AND COOL NIGHTS TO OCCUR DURING THIS
PERIOD...A BEAUTIFUL STRETCH OF WEATHER FOR LATE SEPTEMBER.

&&

.AVIATION/12Z TAFS/...COMING SOON...

&&

.MARINE...COMING SOON...

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM CDT MONDAY
     FOR LMZ643>646.

&&

$$

TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...MBK
MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...WOOD


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