Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
000
FNUS73 KMKX 221107
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Thronson...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
607 AM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 22.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Polar high pressure will track from the northern
Great Lakes to the lower Great Lakes for today and tonight.
This will shift northeast winds to east to southeasterly winds
for the afternoon. Low afternoon relative humidity is expected.
Southerly winds will then pump warmer air into southern Wisconsin
for Thursday and Friday. Increasing amounts of moisture will eventually
lead to showers and isolated thunderstorms for Thursday afternoon
into Friday. More rain is expected through the weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....39-44.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......2400-4200 ft AGL increasing to 4500-4700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (24100-34600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to or moderate.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   6   9   12  14  18  22  35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............27  31  35  38  40  41  41  40
RH..............46  40  35  31  28  27  29  31
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 3.7 4.2 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.12  10  9   8   8   8   9   10
Haines index....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100029  29  28  28  29  30  31  35

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....23-28.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......3000-4300 ft AGL decreasing to 600-2000 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 20 mph shifting to the south 22
                    to 23 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (7900-40900 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........46  56  69  73  75  76  75  75  76  76  77  80
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............39  37  35  32  30  29  28  28  28  28  28  28
RH..............35  40  45  53  58  60  66  66  66  66  66  66
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  15
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 4.1 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.12  14  16  17  20  20  18  17  18  20  22  23
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100038  41  32  24  16  13  10  8   10  13  16  16

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....39-44.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......900-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 24 to 33 mph increasing to 31 to 35 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (16400-55500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to or low.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84  85  83  80  78  82  89  92  92  92  92  93
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........                                        SCH SCH
Temp............28  29  30  31  33  35  37  38  40  42  42  41
RH..............68  66  63  61  58  56  56  57  55  53  55  59
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   10  11  11  12  12  13  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.15  15  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 1.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.24  24  26  28  29  30  31  32  32  33  35  31
Haines index....4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100016  17  23  29  35  41  48  54  55  55  56  39

$$
Forecaster...Gehring
Requested by...Eric Mark
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704860.0/MKX
.EMAIL emark@tnc.org


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.