Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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000
FNUS73 KMKX 221206
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Thronson South...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
606 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 22.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

After early morning dense fog and low clouds, mostly sunny skies
and increasing south to southwest winds will bring record warm
temperatures to the area once again this afternoon. Moderate to
high relative humidity values into mid-morning will transition to
low to moderate values this afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Patchy fog early in the morning.
Max temperature.....68-73.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......200-2000 ft AGL increasing to 2000-3200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 22 mph increasing to 24 to 31
                    mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2500-45800 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (38700-75100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  23  22  20  19  19  19  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............56  61  65  68  71  71  69  64
RH..............64  56  48  43  41  41  45  54
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   10  11  12  12  12  10  8
20 FT wind gust.15  15  20  20  25  20  20  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.2 2.6 2.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.22  24  26  28  30  31  28  25
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100030  37  46  54  66  75  55  39

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy fog early in the morning.
Min temperature.....36-41.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......400-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5100-23700 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........22     11     8      18     32     46
Weather cov.....                                   PATCHY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............60     54     50     47     44     41
RH..............62     71     80     86     89     92
20 ft wind......SW 6   W 6    W 6    W 6    W 6    NW 6
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   1100   700    400    600    700
Transport wind..SW 22  W 20   W 18   NW 18  NW 17  NW 16
Haines index....4      3      3      3      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100024     16     10     5      7      8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog early in the morning.
                    Chance of rain in the afternoon. Chance of rain
                    50 percent.
Max temperature.....43-48.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......700-2600 ft AGL increasing to 2300-3000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (8400-41300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........59     77     84     88     92     95
Weather cov.....PATCHY PATCHY        CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....FOG    FOG    NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
Temp............39     40     44     46     46     46
RH..............92     85     73     68     68     65
20 ft wind......NW 6   N 6    N 6    NE 7   E 8    E 9
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....700    1400   2000   2600   2900   2600
Transport wind..N 15   N 15   NE 15  NE 16  E 16   E 21
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/10008      15     22     32     35     41

$$
Forecaster...WOOD
Requested by...Eric Mark
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702603.0/MKX
.EMAIL emark@tnc.org


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