Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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FNUS73 KMKX 251202
FWSMKX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MANTHEY-BACKFIELD...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
702 AM CDT MON APR 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 2 PM AND 5 PM.
A WARM FRONT WILL NORTH OF THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING. SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP. LOW PRESSURE
WILL THEN APPROACH FROM MINNESOTA AND PASS THIS EVENING. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND COULD LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING. A COLD FRONT
WILL THEN PASS LATE TONIGHT WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 59 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2800-36800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (97700-142900 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC         CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............65     70     72     72
RH..............67     59     59     59
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 10   S 11   SW 11
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     25     25
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3800-52400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO FAIR (2100-16800 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     66     60     54     49     46
RH..............61     68     78     83     89     89
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 6   W 5    NW 5   N 5    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     10     10     15
HAINES INDEX....5      4      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...GEHRING
REQUESTED BY...DEREK CASBON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160425.MANTH.01/MKX



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