Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 210138 AAA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
838 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

AFTER PREVIOUSLY REMOVING POPS FROM THE SMALL PART OF THE
SOUTHEAST THAT ORIGINALLY HAD THEM TONIGHT...THE FORECAST IS
LARGELY IN GOOD SHAPE. DEWPOINTS ARE RUNNING A BIT HIGHER THAN
FORECAST (THIS SEEMS TO BE AN EMERGING TREND)...AND I`M GETTING
THE FEELING THAT CLOUDINESS WILL NOT BE AS WIDESPREAD TONIGHT AS
PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. OTHERWISE...TEMPS ARE DOING FINE AND WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS AT PRESENT. CONVECTION ON RADAR TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST OF CENTRAL ALABAMA TAPERING OFF LOOKING VERY SUMMER-LIKE...
SO NO WORRIES THERE. HOWEVER...BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE IS EXPECTED
TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW JUST ALOFT ABOVE
THE SURFACE. FAIRLY CONFIDENT OF MVFR VISIBILITIES BUT NOT AS MUCH
ON THE POSSIBILITY OF IFR VISIBILITIES...SO ONLY A FEW TEMPOS FOR
NOW. WINDS ALOFT NEAR SUNRISE MAY BE TOO MUCH FOR THE LOWER RANGE.
ALL LOCALES SHOULD GO BACK TO VFR BY 14/15Z WITH MIXING EXPECTED.

08


&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$
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