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000
FXUS64 KJAN 132336
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
636 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 239 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Tonight and Sunday: Near term remains quiet and dry heading into
the evening and Sunday as the upper ridge/surface high continue to
influence our weather. Clear skies and overnight temperatures in
the 50s are expected. The upper-ridge/surface high is expected to
slightly strengthen and slowly track eastward over the
southeastern CONUS on Sunday. As the pattern shifts and
strengthens, southwesterly winds (gusty at times) and moisture
will increase across the area. Afternoon temperatures are expected
to remain above average with highs reaching the lower 80s. /SW/

Sunday night through Friday night: Come Sunday evening surface
ridging will be along the Gulf coast states from the east while a
mid level ridge will be over the central CONUS. This mid level ridge
will be downstream of a closed low that will move from Nevada to the
Four Corners region by Monday evening. The return flow will work to
increase PWATs back above one inch by Monday evening. The closed low
will track east across the central Plains through Tuesday morning
before shifting to the northeast Tuesday afternoon. Ridging surface
and aloft look to remain dominant over our CWA most of Tuesday but
the low level moisture increase will lead to rain chances increasing
across our northwest as the cold front associated with the nearly
stacked low pressure system over the central Plains approaches. The
nearly stacked low will continue tracking northeast Tuesday night
and Wednesday essentially stranding the cold front just northwest of
our CWA. Heights look to remain rather high over most of our CWA but
there will be enough favorable ingredients that isolated severe
storms will be possible Tuesday afternoon and evening; and perhaps
across our northern most zones Wednesday afternoon before this
system totally fizzles Wednesday evening. Little if any
precipitation is currently anticipated south of Interstate 20.
Wednesday night into Thursday morning dry weather is expected
areawide but another closed low tracking along the Canadian and
northern Plains border will drop another cold front our way. Rain
chances look to return to the northwest half of the CWA Thursday
afternoon and continue into Friday evening in the south as the slow
moving cold front is expected to stall across our southern zones
Friday night. /22/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 632 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

VFR conditions will prevail for the most part through the
forecast period. Patchy areas of MVFR/IFR category BR could impact
the HBG/PIB area early Sunday morning. Look for south-southwest
surface wind to become gusty during the late morning/afternoon
hours during time of greatest mixing. /EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       54  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      53  83  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     54  82  59  83 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   53  83  56  83 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       55  82  59  83 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    57  81  62  81 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     58  81  60  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

SW/22/EC