Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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353
FNUS74 KMOB 051313
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MIC06...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
713 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA WILL EASE AND BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE SATURDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE
AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL FALL INTO THE
21 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE TODAY AND AROUND 30 PERCENT SUNDAY

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED.

* NOTE - SUPPLIED OBSERVATION IS 10 MILES FROM BURN SITE. FORECAST MAY
BE LESS APPLICABLE TO BURN SITE AS A RESULT. *

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH
                    13 TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 60 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING B LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........0      1      1      2      7
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............40     49     55     55     48
RH................50     31     23     22     33
20 FT WIND DIR....NNE    N      N      N      N
20 FT WIND SPD....6      7      7      6      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2300   2900   3600   4000   2500
TRANSP WIND DIR...N      N      NNE    N      N
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     13     17     13     13
DISPERSION........35     43     52     60     39
LVORI.............1      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      C      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 7.
STABILITY CLASS.....F.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........9      17     19     18     15     15
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............44     37     33     29     27     24
RH................41     56     69     78     85     92
20 FT WIND DIR....N      N      NNW    NNW    N      N
20 FT WIND SPD....2      1      0      0      1      0
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......1100   800    600    200    200    300
TRANSP WIND DIR...N      N      NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      6      5      5      5      5
DISPERSION........3      3      2      2      2      2
LVORI.............2      2      3      5      5      7
STABILITY CLASS...F      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3100 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 34 IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 20 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....B.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........18     24     29     35     33     32
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............24     34     45     52     55     52
RH................91     64     44     35     32     37
20 FT WIND DIR....NNE    NE     NNE    N      N      N
20 FT WIND SPD....0      2      3      4      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......400    400    2800   4800   5100   3100
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNE    NNE    NNE    N      N      N
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      5      6      6      6      6
DISPERSION........2      2      18     32     34     20
LVORI.............4      4      2      1      1      2
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...16
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160205.MIC06.01/MOB



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