Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 181158
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 30...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
658 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 80 EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
OVER THE BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS OVER THE BURN AREA WILL BE FAIR
THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...CLIMBING ONLY INTO THE
LOWS 20S. A WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS WILL PERSIST OVER THE BURN AREA
THROUGH MID WEEK...HOWEVER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL MANAGE TO
LOWER INTO THE MID 40S BOTH AFTERNOONS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING BOTH
DAYS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW
1/4 MILE ACROSS THE BURN AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DISSIPATE BY
9 AM. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY. VISIBILITIES COULD FALL BELOW 1/4 MILE AT TIMES IN LOW
LYING AND OTHER FOG PRONE AREAS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 22.
LVORI...............2.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........53     53     53     53
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............83     89     92     92
RH................61     51     47     47
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD....3      3      4      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2700   2700   4700   6800
MIX HGT (M).......820    820    1430   2070
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSE    SSE    S      SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      5      7      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      2      3      2
DISPERSION........16     16     22     20
LVORI.............2      2      2      2
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      C      C
CWR...............30     30     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AND SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 9.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........53     59     59     59     54     54
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM FOG    FOG
TEMP..............88     80     75     73     71     70
RH................54     69     82     88     92     95
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     SW     WSW    WSW    W      WNW
20 FT WIND SPD....4      4      3      3      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......6800   3000   1800   1800   600    600
MIX HGT (M).......2070   910    550    550    180    180
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     WSW    WSW    W      WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      6      5      5      3      3
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      3      2      2      1      1
DISPERSION........20     4      2      2      2      2
LVORI.............2      3      5      5      7      9
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      F      F      F      F
CWR...............30     20     20     20     10     10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AND SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 24.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 2.
STABILITY CLASS.....F EARLY BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........54     54     54     54     59     59
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......FOG    TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............68     74     82     87     90     90
RH................99     81     59     49     44     43
20 FT WIND DIR....WNW    NNW    NW     NW     NW     WNW
20 FT WIND SPD....2      3      3      3      3      3
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......600    500    2500   2500   4600   6600
MIX HGT (M).......180    150    760    760    1400   2010
TRANSP WIND DIR...WNW    NNW    N      N      NW     WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...3      3      7      7      6      6
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      1      3      3      3      3
DISPERSION........2      3      21     21     24     24
LVORI.............9      5      2      2      2      2
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............10     20     20     20     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...22
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150518.30___.01/MOB



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