Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 171244
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST BAY...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
744 AM CDT SUN AUG 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE
COAST EARLY THIS MORNING AND MAY AFFECT THE BURN SITE AT TIMES. MOST
OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA BY THIS
AFTERNOON. WEST SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
THROUGH THE DAY...BECOMING GUSTY AT TIMES LATE MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON...DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS WILL BE
FAIR TO GENERALLY GOOD.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2400 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO
                    12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 41 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING C IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING B
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING C LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........55     55     46     46     46
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............83     87     90     90     89
RH................75     64     59     60     62
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    WSW    SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      7      8      8      9
20 FT WIND GUST...              15     15     16
MIX HGT (FT)......100    2400   4800   4800   2400
MIX HGT (M).......30     730    1460   1460   730
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      10     12     12     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      5      5      5
DISPERSION........10     21     41     41     25
LVORI.............5      3      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      B      B      C
CWR...............50     50     30     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....25 DECREASING TO 9.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 5.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........46     41     41     41     50     50
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE                      CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............88     84     82     81     80     79
RH................65     75     83     86     89     90
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     SW     SW     SW     SW     WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....9      10     10     10     7      5
20 FT WIND GUST...16     18     17     17
MIX HGT (FT)......2400   100    100    100    100    100
MIX HGT (M).......730    30     30     30     30     30
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    SW     SW     SW     SW     WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     10     12     12     12     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      4      5      5      5      4
DISPERSION........25     9      9      9      9      8
LVORI.............1      4      4      4      5      5
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      E      E      F      F
CWR...............30     10     10     10     30     30

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    10 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1900 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1900 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND
                    14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 39 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 3.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........50     45     45     45     65     65
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............79     81     85     88     89     89
RH................90     85     71     67     65     64
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    W      W      W      SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      8      8      9      11
20 FT WIND GUST...                            16     18
MIX HGT (FT)......100    100    1900   1900   3700   1900
MIX HGT (M).......30     30     580    580    1130   580
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    W      WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     9      12     12     14     14
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      5      5      6      6
DISPERSION........8      8      29     29     39     27
LVORI.............5      4      3      3      3      3
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      C      C
CWR...............30     30     30     30     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...34
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140817.EASTB.01/MOB







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