Suppression Forecast Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
000
FNUS74 KMOB 130927
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AF BASE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
427 AM CDT THU JUN 13 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JUNE 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...HOT WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAINING ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. THE FRONT
WILL STALL NEAR THE COAST ON FRIDAY...MAINTAINING A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR STORMS ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR. AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS ARE
FORECAST TO BE GOOD.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY
NIGHT WITH VISIBILITY REDUCED TO LESS THAN 3 MILES IN A FEW
LOCATIONS.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WEST WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
THEN SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 64.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%)...........35 25 25 25 39 39
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......FOG NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............73 78 88 92 93 93
RH................96 78 60 52 50 52
20 FT WIND DIR....W W W W SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD....3 2 5 5 8 10
20 FT WIND GUST... 12 12 15 17
MIX HGT (FT)......200 700 3400 3400 6100 4900
MIX HGT (M).......60 210 1040 1040 1860 1490
TRANSP WIND DIR...W W NW NW W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...3 2 8 8 12 17
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1 1 4 4 5 8
DISPERSION........2 3 31 31 49 64
LVORI.............8 4 1 1 1 1
CWR...............10 10 10 10 10 10
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH BECOMING WEST NEAR
5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH BECOMING WEST NEAR 8 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....64 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%)...........39 49 49 49 55 55
WEATHER COV.......S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............89 85 80 77 76 75
RH................56 65 79 83 87 91
20 FT WIND DIR....SW SW SW SW W W
20 FT WIND SPD....10 10 7 7 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST...17
MIX HGT (FT)......4900 1400 900 900 300 200
MIX HGT (M).......1490 430 270 270 90 60
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW SW SW SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD...17 16 13 13 8 7
TRANS SPD (M/S)...8 7 6 6 4 3
DISPERSION........64 18 11 11 6 5
LVORI.............1 3 4 4 5 6
CWR...............10 10 10 10 20 20
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING 6300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 12
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING 67 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%)...........55 51 51 51 43 43
WEATHER COV.......S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............75 79 88 91 93 92
RH................92 81 60 53 50 49
20 FT WIND DIR....W NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD....4 4 5 5 7 5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......200 900 3600 3600 6300 4800
MIX HGT (M).......60 270 1100 1100 1920 1460
TRANSP WIND DIR...W NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...7 7 12 12 12 9
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3 3 5 5 5 4
DISPERSION........5 8 33 33 67 53
LVORI.............6 4 1 1 1 1
CWR...............20 20 20 20 20 20
$$
FORECASTER...22
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130614.JACKS.01/MOB