Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FLUS44 KMOB 131110
HWOMOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
610 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-141115-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
610 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASES THROUGHOUT THE DAY BETWEEN A HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING EAST
OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WITH THE STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW
COMBINED WITH SPRING TIDAL CYCLES...THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG
AREA BEACHES WILL BE HIGH TODAY AND TUESDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH NUMEROUS TO
DEFINITE SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON. DISCRETE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO ADVANCE NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO BY
LATE AFTERNOON...WITH SOME BECOME STRONG TO BRIEFLY SEVERE. BY
TONIGHT...AN ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE OF STORMS IS FORECAST TO ADVANCE
EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. THE SQUALL LINE IS FORECAST TO
APPROACH SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE INTERIOR OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
BY MID EVENING AND THEN MERGE WITH THE STORMS ADVANCING NORTHWARD
FROM THE GULF. THIS ENTIRE SYSTEM WILL ADVANCE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. THE SQUALL LINE IS FORECAST TO EXIT THE FORECAST AREA BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD IN THIS
SQUALL LINE...THOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES AND HAIL UP TO ONE INCH WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE STORMS. ANOTHER CONCERN WILL
BE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. WIDESPREAD TWO TO
THREE INCHES ARE FORECAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST/SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND
THE WESTERN FLORIDA...AND ONE TO TWO INCHES ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
WHERE THE STRONGER STORMS PERSIST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS MAY BE REQUIRED
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-141115-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
610 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS
OVER THE MARINE AREA AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SEAS
WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 8 FEET BY LATE TONIGHT. BAYS...SOUNDS AND
WATERWAYS WILL BECOME CHOPPY TO ROUGH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY...BRINGING A
MODERATE TO STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND FLOW INTO MIDWEEK. SEAS
WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 7 FEET TUESDAY EVENING...AND RANGE FROM 3 TO 5
FEET ON WEDNESDAY. LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE WINDS WILL OCCUR THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.

$$




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