Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FLUS44 KMOB 261154
HWOMOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
554 AM CST SAT NOV 26 2016

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-271200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
554 AM CST SAT NOV 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING EAST OVER THE PLAINS MONDAY THROUGH MID
WEEK WILL BRING AN INCREASED RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER. A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY
THREAT. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN TIMING THE MOVEMENT OF
BEST LIFT...MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOR SEVERE WEATHER NEXT WEEK.
MORE DETAILED FORECASTS WILL COME ON LATER FORECAST SHIFTS AS THE
EVENT DRAWS CLOSER IN TIME.

WITH THE EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY CONDITIONS RESULTING IN COMPACT
SOILS DUE TO SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT...ANY HEAVY RAINFALL NEXT
WEEK COULD LEAD TO AN INCREASED POTENTIAL OF RUNOFF AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS MAY BE REQUIRED
LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

$$

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-271200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
554 AM CST SAT NOV 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW OVER AREA COASTAL WATERS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH A GOOD PORTION OF THE DAY BEFORE
EASING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A MORE POTENT STORM SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT PLAINS MONDAY MOVES INTO
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. LOWERING
PRESSURE COMBINED WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST...RESULTS IN
AN INCREASE IN ONSHORE FLOW. THE DURATION OF THE STRENGTHENING
ONSHORE FETCH RESULTS IN A SUBSTANTIAL BUILD IN SEA STATES GOING INTO
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE AS WELL.


$$



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