Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FLUS44 KMOB 271203
HWOMOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
603 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-281200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
603 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SLOW EASTWARD MOVING STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES
OUT OF THE PLAINS AND ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THIS
WEEKEND. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...GULF MOISTURE BECOMES ANOMALOUSLY
HIGH FOR LATE DECEMBER. CONSIDERING THE HIGH DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE...ORIENTATION OF UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW AND APPROACH OF
FRONTAL ZONE AND WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG IT...THE STAGE IS
SETTING UP FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER A PORTION OF
THE GULF COAST REGION. AT THIS TIME...THE FAVORED AREA IS ALONG AND
WEST OF A LINE FROM CAMDEN TO MONROEVILLE ALABAMA TO LEAKESVILLE AND
LUCEDALE MISSISSIPPI. EVENT TOTAL RAINS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE FORECAST
IN THESE AREAS OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH A POTENTIAL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
POSSIBLE WHERE HEAVIER RAIN SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STORMS MOVE
REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ZONES AND INTO PORTIONS OF INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THIS WEEKEND. AN ASSESSMENT OF INSTABILITY SUGGESTS
THAT THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LOW IN THE NEAR TERM.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES ALONG AREA BEACHES TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ONGOING NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS...WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL OCCUR SUNDAY ACROSS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA OVER THE
NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH SCATTERED COVERAGES TO
THE SOUTHEAST. THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN PASS EAST
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH THE PRECIPITATION COMING
TO AN END NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 65 BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. RAINS TO
MOVE EAST OF THE AREA MONDAY MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES ALONG AREA BEACHES SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE REQUIRED THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-281200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
603 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...SHOWERS INCREASE IN
COVERAGE WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...BRINGING LOCALLY STRONGER WINDS
AND SEAS. VISIBILITY COULD BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A MILE AT TIMES...
WITH THE PASSAGE OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS. THE RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE A FRONTAL
PASSAGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING BRINGS AN END TO THE WET WEATHER BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON. A LARGE AND STRONG AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
EXPANDS EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES NEXT WEEK...RESULTING
IN A LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW AND MODERATE SEAS
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.


$$






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