Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
277
FNUS74 KMOB 141127
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TB-B...BIG LAGOON STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
527 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT.  DRY CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE FOLLOWED
BY VERY HIGH RAIN CHANCES ON MONDAY UNTIL THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING
WITH VISIBILITIES OF 3 TO 5 MILES.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 40 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....C.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........12     10     13     26     38
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............44     51     56     58     55
RH................73     61     55     57     69
20 FT WIND DIR....E      ESE    ESE    ESE    SE
20 FT WIND SPD....8      9      9      8      7
20 FT WIND GUST...       16     16     15     14
MIX HGT (FT)......2000   2000   2400   2500   2500
MIX HGT (M).......610    610    730    760    760
TRANSP WIND DIR...ESE    ESE    ESE    SE     SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...16     16     16     16     16
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      7      7      7      7
DISPERSION........36     36     43     44     44
LVORI.............2      2      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....15.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....E BECOMING D EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........41     46     52     57     66     79
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............54     52     52     52     52     51
RH................74     86     89     93     96     100
20 FT WIND DIR....SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD....7      6      6      6      6      7
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2400   2400   2100   900    900    600
MIX HGT (M).......730    730    640    270    270    180
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE     SE     SSE    SE     SE     SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...18     18     15     10     10     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...8      8      7      4      4      4
DISPERSION........19     19     16     12     12     11
LVORI.............3      3      4      5      5      6
STABILITY CLASS...E      E      E      E      E      D
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 14 TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1700 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 36 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 3.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING D IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........88     91     95     98     97     94
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............51     51     58     65     68     69
RH................100    100    93     78     70     70
20 FT WIND DIR....SE     SE     SSE    S      S      SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....8      10     12     14     14     12
20 FT WIND GUST...15     17     21     23     23     21
MIX HGT (FT)......600    600    1700   1700   1700   1700
MIX HGT (M).......180    180    520    520    520    520
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE     SE     SSE    S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     12     18     23     23     22
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      5      8      10     10     10
DISPERSION........17     17     32     39     39     37
LVORI.............7      7      4      3      3      3
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      D      D      D      D
CWR...............50     50     50     80     80     80

$$
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...KIERSTEN WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160214.TBB__.01/MOB



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.