Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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573
FNUS74 KMOB 291206
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JUPITER...E.N.R.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
706 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0656 CDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER SYSTEM OVER THE AREA WILL SHIFT EAST THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEK...SHIFTING THE AXIS OF BETTER RAIN CHANCES EAST.
VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE A VERY DEEP MIXING LAYER...BUT
GENERALLY LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS WILL KEEP DISPERSIONS FROM RISING TOO
HIGH. A DAILY GULF BREEZE MOVING INLAND IN THE AFTERNOON WILL BRING
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS EACH AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...LIGHT OVERNIGHT FOG DEVELOPMENT
IS POSSIBLE THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS THAT HAVE
RECEIVED RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING THEN INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON THEN DECREASING TO 2900 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST 9
                    TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 30.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE AFTERNOON THEN INCREASING
TO 3.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........70     71     72     73     73     71
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............73     80     86     90     90     90
RH................100    79     65     59     59     63
20 FT WIND DIR....W      WNW    NW     NW     SW     SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....1      3      4      5      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......200    1200   3400   5600   5600   3400
MIX HGT (M).......60     370    1040   1710   1710   1040
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      WNW    WNW    W      WSW    WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...3      6      7      8      10     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      3      3      4      4      5
DISPERSION........3      9      29     26     33     30
LVORI.............8      4      3      2      1      2
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      C      C      C
CWR...............20     20     40     40     60     60

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....26 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 9.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........68     67     65     63     64     67
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............86     81     77     75     73     72
RH................63     74     85     90     93     97
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      ESE    SSE    SE     E
20 FT WIND SPD....3      2      1      1      1      1
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2500   1500   500    400    200    100
MIX HGT (M).......760    460    150    120    60     30
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNW    NE     S      ENE    NNE    NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      6      5      5      5      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      3      2      2      2      2
DISPERSION........26     3      2      2      2      2
LVORI.............2      3      5      6      6      9
STABILITY CLASS...C      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............40     30     30     30     30     30

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL DECREASING
                    TO 5800-6000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4700 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 47 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 33.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 1
                    INCREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........71     73     74     81     85     85
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............71     78     84     88     88     86
RH................100    82     67     60     59     62
20 FT WIND DIR....NE     NNE    ENE    SE     SSE    SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....1      2      3      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......100    1100   3200   5200   6000   5600
MIX HGT (M).......30     340    980    1580   1830   1710
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNE    NNE    NE     ENE    E      SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      7      8      9      10     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION........3      10     27     39     46     33
LVORI.............9      4      3      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      C      C      C      C
CWR...............30     50     50     50     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...29
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160629.JUPIT.01/MOB



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