Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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992
FNUS74 KMOB 271007
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Wfp05...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
507 AM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1600-2800 ft AGL increasing to 6000-6400 ft
                    AGL.
Mixing height (m)...488-853 meters AGL increasing to 1829-1951
                    meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 50.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  54  54  55  56  57  57  56  55  55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  79  82  85  87  88  89  89  88  86
RH..............77  68  61  55  52  50  49  51  52  56
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.    5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.8 4.0 4.6 5.2 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.4 6.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9
Trans wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..11  19  26  33  37  43  48  49  50  51
LVORI...........4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL decreasing to 300-700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1951 meters AGL decreasing to 91-213 meters
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 9 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast 1 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....54 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........54  54  53  52  50  48  47  46  46  46  46  45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............84  82  80  77  75  73  72  72  71  70  70  70
RH..............60  64  70  76  82  86  86  89  91  93  93  92
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...6.4 3.1 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Mix hgt (km)....2.0 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Trans wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Dispersion idx..54  3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2
LVORI...........1   3   3   4   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL increasing to 4500-6200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-427 meters AGL increasing to 1372-1890
                    meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 1 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 36.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  45  48  53  58  63  69  71  71  71  71  70
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............71  71  75  78  81  82  83  83  83  83  82  81
RH..............90  90  80  71  65  64  62  62  62  66  67  71
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.            5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 1.4 2.5 3.7 4.5 5.3 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.3   5   6   8   9   10  10  10  12  12  12  10
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).1   2   3   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   4
Dispersion idx..2   5   11  24  34  38  36  36  37  37  36  34
LVORI...........7   6   4   3   3   2   1   1   2   2   3   3

$$
Forecaster...23
Requested by...Mary Owen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1711644.0/MOB
.EMAIL maowen@fs.fed.us



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