Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 152029
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO 14204...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
329 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL FORECAST FOR THE BURN SITE
THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING. ANOTHER
DRY DAY EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY LIKELY
DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 20 PERCENT RANGE. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL NOT
BE AS STRONG THURSDAY...BUT AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED
TO BE FAIR TO GENERALLY GOOD.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 9 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....55 INCREASING TO 68 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING B LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........0      0
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE
TEMP..............76     73
RH................29     33
20 FT WIND DIR....WNW    WNW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      8
20 FT WIND GUST...23     15
MIX HGT (FT)......5200   5200
MIX HGT (M).......1580   1580
TRANSP WIND DIR...WNW    WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...21     16
TRANS SPD (M/S)...9      7
DISPERSION........55     68
LVORI.............1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      B
CWR...............0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    3 TO 5 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....68 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........0      0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............68     59     53     50     48     47
RH................43     60     77     84     86     87
20 FT WIND DIR....WNW    W      WNW    WNW    NW     WNW
20 FT WIND SPD....8      3      2      2      1      1
20 FT WIND GUST...15
MIX HGT (FT)......5200   200    200    200    100    100
MIX HGT (M).......1580   60     60     60     30     30
TRANSP WIND DIR...WNW    W      WNW    WNW    NW     WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...16     5      3      3      3      2
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      2      1      1      1      1
DISPERSION........68     2      2      2      2      1
LVORI.............1      3      5      5      6      6
STABILITY CLASS...B      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1900 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO WEST-SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE
                    MORNING SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 49 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 2.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........0      0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............46     50     65     74     79     79
RH................89     77     49     35     28     28
20 FT WIND DIR....WNW    S      NW     NW     WNW    W
20 FT WIND SPD....1      1      5      5      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......100    100    2000   2000   3800   1900
MIX HGT (M).......30     30     610    610    1160   580
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    S      WSW    WSW    WNW    NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...2      3      8      8      10     8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      1      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION........1      3      19     19     49     19
LVORI.............6      4      2      2      1      2
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...34
REQUESTED BY...BOBBY ISER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141015.DESOT.02/MOB







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