Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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807
FNAK51 PAFC 041207
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
407 AM AKDT Sat May 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Similar weather to yesterday can be expected once again today.
Precipitation continues to move across the Kenai Peninsula and
areas adjacent to the Prince William Sound, with the western
Kenai, Anchorage area, and much of the Mat-Su Valley remaining
dry. The exception is farther away from the coastal mountains in
areas such as Talkeetna that has managed to record a few
hundredths of precip over the past day. Farther out towards
Skwentna and the Bentalit RAWS, amounts have been in the
neighborhood of 0.2-0.3 inches of rainfall. Precipitation will
gradually taper off today into the overnight period before precip
chances ramp back up Sunday and Monday with one of, if not the
first, easterly wave of the season. Instability is limited, but
perhaps enough for the first lightning strike or two of the season
across the northern Copper River Basin on Sunday afternoon.

Winds will remain mostly in the 10-20 mph range for much of the
Kenai Peninsula. Gusty afternoon and evening winds up to 30 mph
through the Turnagain and Knik Arms will continue through
Saturday, returning again during the day Monday.


AKZ101-050230-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
407 AM AKDT Sat May 4 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   41-49 (-1)   34 (-3)      41-48
RH % (24H TREND)   39-66 (+1)   79-86 (+5)   46-65
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 11-29 G45 SE 5-25 G39  LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4700                      4521
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 22                     SE  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  77007                     31275
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SPRINKLES    NONE         SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   55 (+3)      39 (-3)      54
RH % (24H TREND)   40-47 (-9)   83 (+7)      49-56
20FTWND(MPH)       S 0-13 G25   S 0-12 G24   LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5197                      4633
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 18                     SE  6
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  79060                     24582
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-050230-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
407 AM AKDT Sat May 4 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   41-49 (0)    34 (-3)      41-49
RH % (24H TREND)   39-60 (+6)   78 (+3)      45-61
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 2-20 G31  S 1-16 G26   SE 1-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5457                      4918
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 18                     S  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  78560                     33677
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        NONE         SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           0            30
TEMP (24H TREND)   56 (+2)      39 (-4)      56
RH % (24H TREND)   35-44 (-6)   73-81 (+6)   43-50
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 1-16 G25  SW 2-16 G25  LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5806                      5247
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 14                     S  6
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  84135                     40776
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF Showers LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-050230-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
407 AM AKDT Sat May 4 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           50           80
TEMP (24H TREND)   45-55 (0)    36 (-3)      45-54
RH % (24H TREND)   39-57 (-4)   74-83 (+1)   44-62
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 7-17 G29  SE 2-11 G20  NE 1-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5167                      5239
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 17                     E  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  90180                     47151
CWR                20           10           30
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           60           70
TEMP (24H TREND)   46-54 (+1)   37 (-3)      45-53
RH % (24H TREND)   44-65 (-2)   83-89 (+1)   49-70
20FTWND(MPH)       S 4-13 G20   SW 0-10      NW 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4593                      3324
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 13                     N  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  54562                     21537
CWR                10           20           30
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$