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Spot Forecast for YTA-MooseCreekPA-MPTR-2024...DOI-BLM
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
556 AM AKDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 AKDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
An Arctic cold front that lies over the fire area will move south
of the fire this evening, then move north of the fire on Thu and Fri.
There will be numerous rain and snow showers along this front
today that will taper off tonight. Some of these showers could be wet
between today. Isolated showers will occur on Thu.

Moderate southerly Chinook winds developing across the Alaska Range
on Fri will continue into Sat. This will cause south winds 15 mph over
the fire area Fri into Sat. This will also bring warmer and drier
conditions to the fire area Fri and Sat.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Decreasing clouds (80 percent falling to 50 percent).
                    Isolated rain showers in the morning.
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 5 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......North 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Noon.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 5 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....East around 9 mph.
Inversion setup.....10 PM.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 mph increasing to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 15 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 mph.
Inversion burnoff...

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs
in the mid 50s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...Matthew Matush
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412826.0/AFG
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0