141
FNUS71 KAKQ 290849
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Chicone Woods Rx...MD DNR WHS
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
449 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
Temps rise from the mid 60s early this morning to around 90F this
afternoon. Dew points should hold in the lower 60s today with RH
values dropping from around 85% this morning to 35-40% this
afternoon. Mostly sunny today apart from a few afternoon cumulus
with SW/WSW winds around 5 mph becoming W by mid morning and SSW/S
by late afternoon. Very warm again Tue with highs in the upper 80s
and min RH of 35-40% under partly sunny skies. An isolated shower
or storm cannot be ruled out Tue evening but chances are low.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming
                    light, then becoming west around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon shifting to the southwest around
                    6 mph.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (30100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 to 42.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  14  11  7   4   11  18  25  26  26  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............64  68  73  77  81  84  86  88  89  89  89
RH..............87  78  68  60  54  48  45  40  39  39  39
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   8   8   6   6   8   8   11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.2 3.7 5.3 6.8 6.5 6.3 6.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
LVORI...........5   4   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI.............7   7   9   12  13  21  28  38  40  42  38
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   6   8   9   14  20  27  29  30  30
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (19100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 to 26.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........19  11  2   4   5   6   6   5   4   6   8   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............85  80  76  74  72  70  69  68  67  66  66  65
RH..............45  54  62  66  68  73  73  76  75  78  75  78
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.11  8   8   8   9   9   9   11  11  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 2.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............26  2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Haines index....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..19  9   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 13 mph increasing to 17 to 23
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (88300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 90 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........17     31     34     37     42     45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............64     67     74     80     83     86
RH..............81     75     62     51     44     42
20 ft wind......SW 7   SW 9   SW 10  SW 11  SW 12  SW 12
20 ft wind gust.12     14     16     19     19     20
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    2000   3200   4400   3300
Transport wind..SW 6   SW 9   SW 17  SW 23  SW 23  SW 22
LVORI...........4      4      1      1      1      1
ADI.............4      10     42     75     90     76
Haines index....4      4      3      3      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2      5      30     63     88     65
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   GOOD   GOOD   GOOD

$$
Forecaster...MILLER
Requested by...Harrison
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412638.0/AKQ
.DELDT 04/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason.harrison@maryland.gov