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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
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Spot Forecast for SGL 36 Cash Pond...Pennsylvania Game Commission
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
703 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1900 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A region of high pressure will be moving through NEPA this
evening into the early overnight hours with winds becoming lighter
between 7pm until about 5am. As the high pressure moves off to
the east, winds at higher elevations at State Gamelands number 36
will increase out of the east after 5am with potential for winds
to rise with gusts to near 20 mph by 8am. Winds will stay elevated
between 10 to 20 mph Wenesday morning with RH increasing ahead of
precipitation that is moving in around noon. The heaviest
precipitation moves out Wenesday afternoon into the early evening
as the warm front lifts north with winds increasing again and
becoming more SE. RH stays high Wednesday night into Thursday with
the possibility of hill and ridgetop fog with lower visibilities
above 1500 feet. Showers and drizzle will be possible at times
Wednesday night into Thursday with winds calming back down late
Wednesday night into Thursday morning. There is a low chance of a
thunderstorm late Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the east
                    around 5 mph overnight, then becoming light
                    after 2 am before increasing out of the east at
                    7 to 12 mph after 5 am.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 13 mph shifting to the east 7 to 8
                    mph late in the evening.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
SUNRISE.............6:22am
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................0 to 36.

TIME (EDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  16  13  11  9   10  11  11  15  19  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  56  52  49  46  45  43  43  41  41  40
RH..............37  43  50  54  60  60  62  60  62  62  64
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.12  10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   8   8
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............36  5   0   0   3   3   3   3   3   3   4
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers late in the morning. Rain showers
                    likely early in the afternoon, then rain
                    showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................6 percent increasing to 82 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........E at 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph becoming
                    SE around 11 am to S at 1 pm.
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southeast 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph shifting to the south 14
                    to 16 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............7:49 pm
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 45 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  48  61  74  87  100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....                CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
Weather type....                RW  RW  R   R   R   R   RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   10  10  30  40  60  70  70  70  80  80
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  41  43  46  49  52  52  52  52  52  52  52
RH..............67  67  67  68  68  69  74  80  83  86  86  86
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE   S   S   S  S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   8   10  12  12  12  11  11  11  11  10  8
20 FT wind gust.10  12  16  18  20  20  19  19  19  19  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.2 2.1 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   10  14  16  18  18  18  18  16  16  16
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   1   3   3   4   4   4   4
ADI.............4   5   9   22  36  45  42  33  24  22  21  21
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................82 percent decreasing to 54 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 2300, then 1-8 strikes until
                    0200, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNRISE.............6:21 am
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................11 to 18.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........97        87        85        94
Weather cov.....DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    S CHC
CWR.............80        80        80        70
LAL.............1         1         2         1
Temp............51        50        50        49
RH..............89        93        93        96
20 FT wind......SE 9G16   SE 12G15  SE 12G15  SE 10G16
Mix hgt (ft)....1100      900       1000      900
Transport wind..S 14      S 17      S 18      S 15
LVORI...........4         5         5         5
ADI.............18        14        16        13
Haines index....4         3         3         3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning, then rain showers
                    early in the morning. Chance of rain showers
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR.................51 percent increasing to 73 percent early in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 44 percent late
                    in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............7:51 pm
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................7 to 21.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........88           87           85
Weather cov.....CHANCE       DEFNTE       CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............50           70           40
LAL.............1            1            1
Temp............47           48           51
RH..............100          100          89
20 FT wind......SE 9G13      SE 7G14      SE 6G14
Mix hgt (ft)....800          1300         2200
Transport wind..S 12         S 8          S 8
LVORI...........8            5            4
ADI.............9            13           21
Haines index....3            3            3

$$
Forecaster...Gill
Requested by...Phil Kasper
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411152.0/BGM
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pkasper@pa.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
