Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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000
FXUS63 KDLH 302343
AFDDLH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
643 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 318 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

AT 300 PM...THE NORTHLAND WAS BETWEEN AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN
THE CENTRAL US...CENTERED NEAR MISSOURI...AND HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER MANITOBA AND FAR NW ONTARIO. THE NORTHLAND HAD GUSTY
NE FLOW...WITH WIDESPREAD GUSTS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. AREAS NEAR AND
DOWNWIND OF LAKE SUPERIOR HAD GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. THE SKIES
RANGED FROM SUNNY ACROSS THE NW FORECAST AREA TO PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN FORECAST AREA.
TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM THE UPPER 40S NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR TO THE
LOW TO MIDDLE 50S WELL INLAND.

THE GUSTY NE FLOW WILL SUBSIDE LATER THIS EVENING. THE LOW
PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST TO SOUTH OF THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY...WHILE THE HIGH PRESSURE IN CANADA WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH
THE NORTHLAND FROM THE NORTH. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN MINNESOTA...WILL RESULT IN SOME
AREAS OF FROST BY DAWN SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE LIGHTER NE FLOW
SUNDAY AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SETTLE OVER WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR...AND COULD PROPEL A LAKE BREEZE
WELL INLAND. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RANGE FROM THE LOW 50S NEAR LAKE
SUPERIOR TO THE UPPER 50S AND LOW 60S WELL INLAND.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 318 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THE LONG TERM IS THE SOMEWHAT LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES.

IT WILL REMAIN QUIET ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE END OF
NEXT WEEK WITH THE ONLY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ON TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY. A SLOWLY MOVING RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE
WEATHER ACROSS THE FORECAST REGION THROUGH TUESDAY KEEPING RAIN
OUT OF THE AREA. THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE THE
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 40 PERCENT. IN THE LEECH
LAKE/BRAINERD LAKES ALONG WITH THE THE SANDY SOILS IN NW WI...THE
VALUES COULD GET DOWN INTO THE LOWER 30S. GREEN UP IS OCCURRING
WITH THE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE OF THE PAST FEW DAYS.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING BRINGING A POSSIBILITY OF RAIN SHOWERS IN NW
WI. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND WILL KEEP THE REGION RAIN FREE WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S AWAY FROM THE LAKE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 641 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS THROUGH THE
EVENING...AND REDEVELOPING SUNDAY AT KHYR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  34  53  36  60 /   0   0   0  10
INL  30  61  35  64 /   0   0   0  10
BRD  35  60  37  65 /   0   0   0  10
HYR  37  59  34  64 /   0   0   0  10
ASX  35  52  35  61 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR LSZ121-141>148.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LSZ140.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GROCHOCINSKI
LONG TERM...STEWART
AVIATION...GRANING


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