Text Products for FWS Issued by DMX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
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FNUS73 KDMX 201008
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Burrows Pond...USFWS
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
508 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly cloudy skies are expected for much of the day with a brisk
northwest wind. Temperatures remain cool for this time a year with
minimum relative humidity values dropping to around 40 percent by
mid afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (60-70 percent).
Temperature.........30 at ignition...Max 48.
RH..................75 percent at ignition...Min 40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 14 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 14 to 18
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 22 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /33700 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /128600 knot-ft/.
GFDI................2.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   7   25  31  45  60  63  67  67  66
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............30  33  38  40  42  43  45  46  47  47
RH..............75  66  54  50  46  47  43  42  40  40
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..14  16  18  18  18  18  17  17  17  16
20 FT wind gust.20  22  22  22  23  24  23  23  23  22
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 3.5 4.3 4.7 5.4 5.7 5.7 6.1 6.4 6.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.22  25  25  24  24  24  24  23  23  23
GFDI............1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100034  78  94  100 113 119 120 123 129 128

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (15-25 percent). Widespread frost
                    overnight.
Temperature.........Min 27.
RH..................Max 81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 23 mph decreasing to 12 to 13
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (96400 knot-ft) decreasing to fair
                    (14100 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing
                    to poor (4000 knot-ft) late in the night early
                    in the evening.
GFDI................1.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........66     53     28     9      2      2
Weather cov.....                            WIDSPD WIDSPD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST  FROST
Tstm cov........
Temp............47     44     38     35     31     29
RH..............40     45     57     64     75     81
20 ft wind......NW 14  NW 10  NW 9   NW 8   W 8    W 8
20 ft wind gust.18     15     14     14     13     13
Mix hgt (ft)....6000   1200   500    400    400    400
Transport wind..NW 23  NW 14  NW 12  NW 13  NW 12  W 13
GFDI............2      1      1      1      1      0
Haines index....3      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/1000120    14     5      5      4      4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Widespread frost early in
                    the morning.
Temperature.........Max 58.
RH..................Min 27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (71500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........2         1         1         1
Weather cov.....WIDSPD
Weather type....FROST     NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............27        36        50        56
RH..............88        64        34        27
20 FT wind......W 9G13    W 10G15   NW 13G17  W 13G17
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1300      4400      4900
Transport wind..W 13      W 15      W 17      W 16
GFDI............0         1         2         3
Haines index....4         4         4         4
SDspl kt-ft/10004         17        66        71

$$
Forecaster...Cogil
Requested by...Chad Loreth
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411445.0/DMX
.DELDT 04/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL chad_loreth@fws.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
