Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FNUS73 KEAX 251437
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for MDC Landowner Burn Workshop...Conservation Depatment
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
937 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Current conditions near the burn site are a temperature of 57 degrees,
a RH of 57 percent, and winds out of the southeast around 12 mph. RH
will not drop much today, with chances for showers later this morning and
into the afternoon hours. SE winds should increase by late morning, with gusts
up to 25 to 30 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning, then chance
                    of rain showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................7 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 17 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 31 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 22 to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  80  85  88  88  89  90  87
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............57  59  61  62  62  62  61  61
RH..............57  55  51  50  52  54  56  56
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..17  18  18  18  20  20  20  18
20 FT wind gust.26  28  28  29  28  28  31  31
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.0 2.7 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.23  23  22  24  25  24  28  26
Haines index....3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms through
                    the night. Rain showers overnight.
CWR.................6 percent increasing to 95 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 17 to 22 mph with gusts to
                    around 36 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 23 to 29 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........81  78  80  85  87  89  93  95  95  97  98  96
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  90  90  90  100 100
Temp............61  60  59  57  57  56  57  57  55  55  55  54
RH..............56  55  57  62  64  66  67  67  74  77  80  83
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..17  17  17  17  18  18  20  21  21  21  22  22
20 FT wind gust.29  26  26  29  30  30  33  33  33  33  35  36
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 1.8 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.26  23  25  26  26  29  29  28  28  28  28  28
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers
                    through the day. Thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................95 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Breezy. Southeast winds 23 to 25 mph with gusts
                    to around 40 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 26 to 32 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........94  93  93  94  95  92  87  85  84  82  81  79
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 90  90  90  90  90
Temp............54  55  55  56  58  60  62  65  66  68  68  69
RH..............83  83  86  86  86  84  81  78  78  76  81  78
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..23  23  23  24  24  24  25  25  25  25  24  24
20 FT wind gust.37  36  38  39  39  39  39  39  40  40  40  40
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.0 1.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.26  26  28  29  30  31  32  32  32  31  30  30
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Williams
Requested by...Cliff Wilson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412453.0/EAX
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Cliff.Wilson@mdc.mo.gov


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