Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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359
FXUS63 KFGF 241131
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
631 AM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 614 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Showers have exited the eastern areas and skies are clearing.
PWats down to almost a half inch per latest RAP, this will limit
clouds for the first half of the day. Will see CU develop in the
NW as moisture returns with wrap around advection with upper low
approaching. West winds will be breezy in the 15 to 20mph range
with a few gusts to 30 mph. Nonetheless little changes made to
ongoing forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Cold front continuing to push east, departing the FA early this
morning. A few lingering showers will affect areas east of Fosston
and Detroit Lakes before dawn. In the wake of the front west winds
have developed and will increase as the upper low pressure system
slowly tracks east across southern Manitoba. This support combined
with a secondary push of CAA will be enough for another round of
scattered showers across the northern tier of counties this
afternoon in NE ND and into NW MN this evening and overnight.
Cooler temps today with highs in the 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Thursday will continue to see the influence of the upper low
especially across NW MN with shower activity chances continuing,
as a cool and cloudy day is expected. With upper low ejecting east
thursday aftn and sfc high pressure building into the northern
plains will see clearing skies from west to east. This will allow
a cool night with temps in the 40s to 50 Friday morning.

Next round of PCPN will lift NE out of SD Friday mid morning with
short wave in the SW 500mb flow. Showers and thunder will continue
to lift into the rest of the FA Friday afternoon and evening with
the DVL BSN more likely to remain dry.

The next 500 mb low and short wave trough will move through
Saturday giving a good chance for showers and thunderstorms.  The
system will move east on Sunday giving dry weather for Sunday night
into Monday.  Next system to arrive Tuesday.  00z long range models
pretty good with overall pattern.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 614 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

VFR for much of the day with west winds 12 to 17kts gusting to 25
to 30kt valley and DVL. Late in the day showers possible at DVL
and possibly TVF overnight...chances remain low so not included in
TAF.

&&

.FGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JK
SHORT TERM...JK
LONG TERM...JK/Riddle
AVIATION...JK



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