Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FNUS73 KICT 271524
FWSICT

SPOT FORECAST for Tallgrass...National Park Service
National Weather Service WICHITA KS
1024 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on March 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact us via NWS Chat, 800mhz radio or phone if you have
questions or concerns with this forecast,

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will remain relatively light throughout the day today with
speeds generally in the 5-10 mph. The biggest potential risk is
winds shifting to the south-southwest in the 1-2pm timeframe.
Winds will remain in the 5-15 mph range overnight from the south-
southwest. Much stronger south-southwesterly winds begin shortly
after sunrise Wednesday with speeds 15-20 mph, gusting near 25
mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast 5 to 7 mph shifting to the south 6 to
                    9 mph late in the afternoon, then shifting to
                    the southwest around 9 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  18  18  19  20  21  19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............34  39  44  47  49  51  51
RH..............47  38  32  29  28  28  29
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.4   4   5   6   6   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.3 4.5
Mixing wind dir.N   NE  S   S   SW  SW  SW
Mixing wind spd.7   5   6   6   7   9   9
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 8 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  15  12  10  7   6   5   3   4   4   4   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............50  49  46  42  39  37  36  35  35  34  33  32
RH..............32  36  42  50  58  65  68  71  75  79  84  89
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mixing wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Mixing wind spd.9   9   8   8   9   10  13  14  15  15  15  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to
                    16 mph late in the afternoon. Gusts up to 28
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 15 to 24 mph increasing to 24 to 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   8   6   4   1   2   2   3   3   4   4   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............31  32  36  40  46  51  55  59  62  64  65  64
RH..............91  88  81  72  63  53  45  39  35  32  31  32
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   6   8   9   11  12  12  14  15  16  16  15
20 FT wind gust.        11  14  18  19  19  21  21  22  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.9 4.5 4.9 4.8
Mixing wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Mixing wind spd.16  15  15  18  22  23  24  25  24  25  25  25
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Baerg
Requested by...Scott Beacham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408584.0/ICT
.DELDT 03/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scott_beacham@nps.gov


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