Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
669
FNUS72 KMHX 301932
FWSMHX
Spot Forecast for VOA...NCWRC
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
332 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.
.DISCUSSION...
Gusty west-southwesterly winds up to 15-20 kt today will
gradually ease tonight, but still remain elevated during the
overnight hours. Chance of showers and a thunderstorm or two has
lowered overnight but best chances (20-30%) are along the
Crystal Coast with activity migrating onshore. Tomorrow,
expecting scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to
develop as sea breeze and surface trough converge in the
afternoon and persist into the evening hours. May see some
isolated to widely scattered, light showers in the morning, but
best chance in afternoon with tstorm potential increasing from
1300edt onwards. Min RHs stay above 50% in light southwest to
westerly winds less than 10 kt.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Isolated showers late in the
morning, then scattered showers in the
afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and
early afternoon becoming light and variable.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near tstorms in
the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 44045 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 45.
Stability class.....2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.88 to 29.93 inHg.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57 51 54 59 61 61 60 60
Weather cov.....ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
LAL.............1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............73 76 78 79 80 81 81 80
RH..............69 62 58 55 53 52 52 54
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 5 4 4 3 2
20 FT wind gust. 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 3.6 4.3 5.0 5.5 4.8 4.5 3.9
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W NW NW
Transp wind spd.10 10 8 8 8 8 8 7
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............36 45 41 33 35 33 43 32
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.29 37 34 40 44 39 36 27
Sfc pres (in)...993 992 991 990 990 989 988 988
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the
evening and overnight.
LAL.................3 until 0200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the evening and
overnight.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the south 3 to 8
mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 1494 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 8.
ADI.................Min 2.
Stability class.....4.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.88 to 29.96 inHg.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........58 54 48 44 36 32 31 29 28 32 38 41
Weather cov.....SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1
Temp............78 75 72 70 69 67 66 64 63 62 61 61
RH..............58 66 76 81 84 87 90 93 93 93 97 93
20 FT wind dir..SW S SE SE E E E E E E E NE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust. 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S SW
Transp wind spd.9 8 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 3 3
LVORI...........2 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 8 7
ADI.............25 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.20 7 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1
Sfc pres (in)...988 989 990 992 994 995 995 995 995 995 995 996
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 3 mph shifting to the northwest
around 5 mph late in the morning, then shifting
to the northeast 5 to 7 mph in the late morning
and early afternoon shifting to the east around
7 mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 42090 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Max 51.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.93 to 30.02 inHg.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........42 46 28 20 11 10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............61 63 72 79 82 84
RH..............97 97 71 54 44 41
20 ft wind......NE 2 NE 3 NE 4 NE 5 E 5 E 6
20 ft wind gust.5 5 9 9 9 9
Mix hgt (ft)....500 700 2300 4100 6100 6000
Transport wind..SW 3 W 3 NE 5 E 6 E 7 E 7
LVORI...........8 8 3 1 1 1
ADI.............1 3 15 33 51 45
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.2 2 11 26 42 40
Sfc pres (in)...29.97 30.00 30.02 30.00 29.97 29.94
$$
Forecaster...Bowen
Requested by...Jennifer Prince
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412673.1/MHX
.DELDT 04/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jennifer.prince@ncwildlife.org