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000
FNUS73 KMPX 151316
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR VERMILLION WMA-13B...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
816 AM CDT WED MAY 15 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0945 CDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A BATCH OF DECAYING SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA WILL MOVE TOWARD EASTERN MINNESOTA THIS MORNING. THEY MAY HOLD
TOGETHER ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SPRINKLES OR A WEAK SHOWER AT THE IGNITION SITE
BETWEEN 9 AM AND NOON. AFTER THAT...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH THE MID
70S WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING TO 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST
                    5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (9200-58100) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (62200-79800) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-8100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     63     68     73     76     77
RH..............62     52     40     32     27     25
20 FT WIND......NW 3   NW 5   NW 5   NW 5   W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5                           10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (45800-73700) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO FAIR (900-20300) EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (700-42000) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (56600-66200) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8300-9300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SCHMIT
REQUESTED BY...ANTON  BENSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130515.VERMI.08/MPX