Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FNUS73 KMPX 211322
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR JESSENLAND...U.S. FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
822 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE BURN SITE BY 10
AM WITH DECREASING CLOUD COVER AND INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS.
BY THIS AFTERNOON...NORTHWEST WINDS NEAR 20 MPH WILL BE COMMON
WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES DURING THE
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 25 TO 30
PERCENT RANGE. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN 40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................28 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 18 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 14 TO
                    19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2100-28000) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (133900-171600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-7400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 22 TO
                    31 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............62     66     69     68     62     55
RH..............43     28     27     28     31     47
20 FT WIND......NW 15  NW 16  NW 17  NW 17  NW 15  NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.25     30     30     30     25     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      3      4      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (102900-152700) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (2500-5600).

.TUESDAY...

TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL
                    LATE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-6600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...HILTBRAND
REQUESTED BY...DAN PAULSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.JESSE.01/MPX









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