Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 191346
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTONWOOD RIVER PRAIRIE SNA...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
846 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT IS CENTERED ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES WILL DRIFT TO THE EAST TODAY ALONG WITH A
STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE DAKOTAS. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS AND BETTER MIXING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2800-31500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (117700-161900).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100-9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............70     71     71     69     63     58
RH..............42     41     41     42     52     59
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 10   S 9    S 8    S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     15     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (90400-137300) DECREASING TO POOR TO
                    GOOD (2500-51600) EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2800-29700) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (60400-107100) EARLY IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...BORGHOFF
REQUESTED BY...BRAD BOLDUAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160519.COTTO.01/MPX


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