Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FNUS73 KMPX 241200
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GLACIAL LAKES ST  ROSCOE...MN DNR PARKS AND TRAILS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
700 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER THE FOG BURNS OFF THIS MORNING...THE BURN SITE IS HEADED
FOR A WARM AND OVERALL DRY DAY WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. EVEN WITH
THE RAIN HELPING TO ADD A LITTLE MOISTURE TO THE AREA...AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S WILL DRIVE THE HUMIDITY DOWN INTO THE 30S.
A STRAY SHOWER IS NOT COMPLETELY OUT OF THE QUESTION TODAY...BUT
NOT LIKELY EITHER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1500-38400) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (96000-134200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000-11800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............67     74     80     82     83     80
RH..............75     55     41     34     32     38
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 2    S 3    S 3    S 3    SE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5
                    TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76.
RH..................MIN 64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2900-24400) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (65200-106000) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (129000-146800) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (47900-88400)
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4200-6100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 35
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 30 TO 38 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 22 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...FRANKS
REQUESTED BY...V  BLAKESLEY-LOSO  RESOURCE SPEC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160524.GLACI.01/MPX



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