Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 031220
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST VALLEY...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
720 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. WEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE...REACHING SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 20 MPH GUSTING TO AROUND 30 MPH.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DIP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT. THE WINDOW
FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE PRIMARILY BETWEEN 4 PM AND 7 PM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2300-33600) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (276500-322700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500-10800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 32 TO
                    35 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                                   S CHC
TEMP............46     56     66     70     71     70
RH..............71     55     40     33     32     35
20 FT WIND......SW 3   W 5    W 8    W 13   W 14   NW 11
20 FT WIND GUST.5      15     20     30     30     25
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...WFO MPX
REQUESTED BY...NATE RENK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.LOSTV.01/MPX



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