Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 051139
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CASEY LAKE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
639 AM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH HIGHS
CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 70S. RH VALUES WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 25
AND 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO
10 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 15 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1500-47300) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (57600-71000) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............53     64     71     77     79     76
RH..............53     40     32     29     29     34
20 FT WIND......S 4    SW 5   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....6      6      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (26100-72500) DECREASING TO
                    POOR (2400-3400) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85.
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE TO OR HIGH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2400-32200) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (59700-87300) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (103000-150500) IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    GOOD (55500) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3700-5300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 32
                    MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERONE
REQUESTED BY...KRIS LARSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160505.CASEY.01/MPX


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