Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 111058
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 10...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
558 AM CDT FRI APR 11 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF THE
BURN SITE BY 11 AM. SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY BY THIS TIME.
THE WIND FORECAST TODAY IS A TRICKY ONE IN TERMS OF DIRECTION.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE FOR MOST OF THIS MORNING...AND
MAY STILL BE VARYING SOME BY IGNITION TIME. AS WE REACH THE
AFTERNOON THOUGH...WINDS SHOULD BECOME MORE DEFINED FROM THE WEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 20
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (800-44300) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (91100-137900) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (136800-184600) IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (114700) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300-10500 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     54     58     61     63     61
RH..............53     40     30     26     24     27
20 FT WIND......W 4    W 5    W 6    W 6    W 5    W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     10            5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (62200-92500) DECREASING TO POOR TO
                    GOOD (1700-32000) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 9
                    TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (4200-45100) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (64400-105900) EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (85500-126600) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING
                    TO GOOD (44500) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5000-6300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8
                    TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE WEST 13 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 20 TO 24 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WFO MPX
REQUESTED BY...SETH GRIMM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140411.UNIT1.01/MPX







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