Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FNUS73 KMPX 221246
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Artichoke Lake South...USFWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
746 AM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure moving atop the region today will produce
mostly sunny skies. Winds will eventually become westerly with speeds
around 10 mph. RH values will drop to between 25 and 30 percent this
afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Temperature.........58 at ignition...Max 68.
RH..................51 percent at ignition...Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 6 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5200-6900
                    ft AGL increasing to 6500-7200 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 15 mph.
Mixing winds........West 13 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /57600 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /88700 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........3 or very low at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............58  61  64  65  66  66  66  65
RH..............51  42  37  34  34  32  33  35
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.        10  10  10  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 5.7 6.3 6.6 6.9 7.2 6.9 6.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.13  13  13  14  14  14  14  15
Mixing wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.13  13  13  14  14  14  14  15
Haines index....3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3
SDspl kt-ft/100058  65  73  78  83  89  86  83

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Temperature.........Min 41.
RH..................Max 85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL decreasing to 300-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 15 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 5 mph early in the morning.
Mixing winds........Southwest 8 to 15 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 5 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (49600-80100 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to poor to fair (1200-28500 knot-ft)
                    early in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............63     58     51     49     46     42
RH..............37     47     62     66     71     82
20 ft wind......W 7    SW 6   SW 6   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....6200   2200   300    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 15   SW 13  SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  S 8
Mixing wind.....W 15   SW 13  SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  S 8
Haines index....3      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100080     29     3      3      2      2

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Temperature.........Max 68.
RH..................Min 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL increasing to 5600-6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 5 mph shifting to the south 6 to 15
                    mph early in the morning, then increasing to 17
                    to 21 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing winds........East 3 to 5 mph shifting to the south 6 to 15
                    mph early in the morning, then increasing to 17
                    to 21 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (700-32000 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (103500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to or moderate.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Temp............41     48     57     63     67     68
RH..............85     71     51     39     32     31
20 ft wind......E 3    SE 5   SE 6   S 7    S 9    S 10
20 ft wind gust.5             10     10     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1000   2800   5600   6300   6300
Transport wind..E 3    S 6    SW 10  S 15   S 18   S 21
Mixing wind.....E 3    S 6    SW 10  S 15   S 18   S 21
Haines index....4      5      5      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10001      8      32     75     100    112

$$
Forecaster...CALDERONE
Requested by...Phil Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707479.0/MPX
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov



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