Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 051133
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURTLE CREEK...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
633 AM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH HIGHS
CLIMBING INTO THE LOWER 70S. SHOWERS THIS MORNING EAST OF THE I-35
CORRIDOR ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN THERE AND NOT REACH THE BURN SITE.
RH VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS UP TO
AROUND 15 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1000-37100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............50     60     65     70     72     70
RH..............50     38     34     32     34     36
20 FT WIND......S 3    SW 5   SW 5   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2900-37700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 84.
RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE TO OR HIGH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2900-25000) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (58400-91900) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (125300-172000) IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (114700) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5400-7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 24
                    TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERONE
REQUESTED BY...ERIC EARHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160505.TURTL.02/MPX


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