Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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817
FNUS73 KMPX 191135
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REGAL MEADOWS...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
635 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH ARE EXPECTED FROM
IGNITION TIME THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. RH VALUES WILL START OUT
BETWEEN 55 AND 60 PERCENT...AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 40-45
PERCENT BY LATE AFTERNOON. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
JUST A FEW HIGH CLOUDS POSSIBLE AT IGNITION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 54.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (37100-52900).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............38     44     49     52     54     53
RH..............70     57     50     44     41     43
20 FT WIND......NW 6   N 7    N 7    N 7    N 6    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      2      3      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-44100).

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-48200) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (56100-59400) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...LAHR
REQUESTED BY...TONI AGUILAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150519.REGAL.01/MPX



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