Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 201429
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR ROCK SNA...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
929 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY CLOUDY OR OVERCAST SKIES SHOULD PERSIST FOR MOST OF THE DAY
BUT THERE COULD EVENTUALLY BE SOME CLEARING LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN AND THE HUMIDITY HIGHER INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON. IF CLOUDS BREAK UP WE SHOULD GET INTO THE 30S
FOR RH...BUT IF THE BURN SITE REMAINS SOCKED IN WITH CLOUD COVER
THEN THE FORECAST WILL LIKELY BE MUCH TOO AGRESSIVE IN DROPPING
THE RH THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1500-49200) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (58500-65200) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............58     59     61     60     56     51
RH..............39     37     33     35     38     48
20 FT WIND......NW 5   NW 5   NW 5   NW 5   W 3    W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10     5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (22000-69800) DECREASING TO
                    POOR (2000-3300) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3500-33200) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (80500) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (142700) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (168800-204100)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (154100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300-8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 28
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...FRANKS
REQUESTED BY...BRAD BOLDUAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150520.CEDAR.01/MPX



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