Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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469
FNUS73 KMPX 191344
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER FLORA 3 PRAIRIE BANK...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
844 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT IS CENTERED ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES WILL DRIFT TO THE EAST TODAY ALONG WITH A
STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE DAKOTAS. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS AND BETTER MIXING TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3000-33500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (125800-166700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900-9400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............60     69     71     72     72     70
RH..............53     44     40     38     38     41
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 7    S 9    S 9    S 9    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     20     20     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      4      4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (98500-148200) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (3300-3500).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3500-29100) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (85600-120600).

$$
FORECASTER...BORGHOFF
REQUESTED BY...BRAD BOLDUAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160519.LOWER.01/MPX



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