Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FNUS73 KMPX 201305
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for ARNO Drop Zone...OTHER
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
805 AM CDT Mon Mar 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on March 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Skies will remain mostly cloudy through the morning, with
a few sprinkles possible, but most of the echoes on radar are not reaching
the ground.  Winds will bet out of the north 5 to 10 MPH through the day.
The humidity won`t fall below 50% until this afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Temperature.........37 at ignition...Max 49.
RH..................75 percent at ignition...Min 26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing Height.......1100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 600-2100 ft
                    AGL increasing to 5100-5300 ft AGL.
Mixing Height.......1100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 600-2100 ft
                    AGL increasing to 5100-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /16700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /48400 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate at ignition...max 5.

Time (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............37  40  41  43  45  47  49  49  49  48
RH..............75  64  57  48  39  32  28  26  26  29
20 ft wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  W
20 ft wind spd..4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   4   4
20 ft wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   10  10  15  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.6 4.2 4.8 5.3 5.2 5.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.17  17  16  15  14  13  12  10  9   9
Haines Index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Sdspl kt-ft/100017  20  28  37  45  46  47  48  46  43

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 22.
RH..................Max 71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 8 mph early in
                    the evening.
Mixing Height.......3400-4900 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1800 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Mixing Height.......3400-4900 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1800 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2400-40600 knot-ft).

Time (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............46     41     36     33     29     25
RH..............32     42     56     63     69     71
20 ft wind......W 3    W 4    NW 5   NW 5   N 6    N 6
20 ft wind gust.10     10     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....4900   1800   400    600    400    300
Transport wind..W 9    W 10   NW 12  NW 13  N 14   N 16
Haines Index....5      5      5      4      4      4
Sdspl kt-ft/100041     15     4      6      4      4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........Max 33.
RH..................Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing Height.......300-2000 ft AGL increasing to 2900-4500 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......300-2000 ft AGL increasing to 2900-4500 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (3900-53500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (53100-62400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR or very low to or low.

Time (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Temp............22     23     26     30     33     32
RH..............65     57     46     35     29     30
20 ft wind......N 6    N 7    N 7    N 6    N 6    N 6
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     15     15     10
Mix hgt (ft)....300    2000   3200   3700   4200   4200
Transport wind..N 18   N 20   N 20   N 16   N 16   N 16
Haines Index....3      4      4      4      4      4
Sdspl kt-ft/10004      36     52     54     59     58

$$
Forecaster...DEVINNY
Requested by...Camp Ripley Environmental Office
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704644.0/MPX
.EMAIL jason.d.linkert.nfg@mail.mil



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