Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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453
FNUS73 KMPX 221236
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Rapids Lake...USFWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
736 AM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure moving atop the region today will produce
mostly sunny skies. Winds will eventually become westerly with speeds 10 mph
or less. RH values will drop to between 25 and 30 percent this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Temperature.........66 at ignition...Max 68.
RH..................36 percent at ignition...Min 27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 6 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6600-7400
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 13 mph.
Mixing winds........West 12 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /69700 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /75300 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........4 or low at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............66  67  67  65
RH..............36  33  34  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...7.2 7.4 7.0 6.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  12  13  13
Mixing wind dir.W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.12  12  13  13
Haines index....4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100070  75  72  69

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Temperature.........Min 43.
RH..................Max 79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southwest around
                    5 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......4200-6100 ft AGL decreasing to 300-2200 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 13 mph.
Mixing winds........Southwest 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to excellent (23200-65700 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to poor (1900 knot-ft) in the late
                    evening and overnight.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............64     59     52     49     47     44
RH..............38     44     56     63     68     76
20 ft wind......W 6    SW 4   SW 4   SW 4   SW 5   SW 5
20 ft wind gust.       5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....6100   2200   300    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 13   SW 10  SW 8   SW 9   SW 10  SW 10
Mixing wind.....W 13   SW 10  SW 8   SW 9   SW 10  SW 10
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100066     23     2      2      2      2

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........Max 69.
RH..................Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1800 ft AGL increasing to 5600-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph shifting to the south
                    around 22 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing winds........Southwest 12 to 21 mph shifting to the south
                    around 22 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2400-51200 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (71100 knot-ft) late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 or low.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Temp............44     53     62     66     69     69
RH..............76     59     44     38     33     35
20 ft wind......SW 5   SW 6   SW 7   SW 7   SW 9   S 9
20 ft wind gust.       10     10     10     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1300   3300   6500   6500   6000
Transport wind..SW 12  SW 17  SW 20  SW 16  SW 18  SW 21
Mixing wind.....SW 12  SW 17  SW 20  SW 16  SW 18  SW 21
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10002      22     51     91     104    105

$$
Forecaster...CALDERONE
Requested by...Dan Paulson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707478.0/MPX
.EMAIL daniel_pauslon@fws.gov



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