Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 181314
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR VICTOR PILES...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
714 AM CST WED JAN 18 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON JANUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE RIDGE THAT WAS CENTERED ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THIS
MORNING WILL LEAD TO A SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WIND TODAY. SKIES WILL
REMAIN SUNNY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........27 AT IGNITION...MAX 38.
RH..................90 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-600 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /9600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
                    /12400 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............27  27  28  31  33  36  38  38  37  35
RH..............90  87  85  78  78  72  70  70  72  75
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.22  22  21  18  16  15  14  14  14  14
SDSPL KT-FT/100010  12  9   6   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1900-2900 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 5    S 4    S 3    S 4    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14   S 14   S 12   S 9    S 10   S 12
SDSPL KT-FT/10003      3      3      2      2      2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY DRIZZLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 38.
RH..................MIN 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 13
                    TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2400-23900 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP............30     32     33     37     38     38
RH..............96     92     96     89     89     89
20 FT WIND......S 4    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 5    SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5                    10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    600    900    1300   1200   900
TRANSPORT WIND..S 12   S 14   S 18   S 22   S 20   SE 15
SDSPL KT-FT/10002      8      15     24     20     13

$$
FORECASTER...TAGGART
REQUESTED BY...JARED CULBERTSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700503.0/MPX
.EMAIL JARED_CULBERTSON@FWS.GOV



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