Suppression Forecast Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
000
FNUS73 KMPX 171159
FWSMPX
SPOT FORECAST FOR ORDWAY PRAIRIE...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
659 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THIS MORNING...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO
THE MID 70S...AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DECLINE INTO THE UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY...THEN
DECREASE TO AROUND 5 KNOTS AT SUNSET AND BECOME MORE NORTHERLY.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
RAIN 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1500-38500) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (70600-107000) IN THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-7300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 16
TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............70 74 75 76 75 71
RH..............59 51 50 48 48 55
20 FT WIND......NW 8 NW 8 NW 8 NW 9 N 7 N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
THE EVENING. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (40000-70800) DECREASING TO
POOR TO FAIR (1100-16900) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-28500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-6900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.
$$
FORECASTER...SCHMIT
REQUESTED BY...MATT GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130617.ORDWA.01/MPX