Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FNUS73 KMPX 201233
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Crow Lake Piles Rx...USFWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
733 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on June 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The showers have now passed through the area and the
remainder of the day will be dry.  Some cloud cover will linger to
your north for an hour or two, but expect mostly sunny skies as those
clouds quickly depart.  Winds will be northwest today up to 10 MPH by
late morning.  RH will be quite high through the morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 72.
RH..................84 percent at ignition...Min 44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 5 to 10
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1300-2300
                    ft AGL increasing to 5800-6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing winds........Northwest 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /15000 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /61200 knot-ft/ increasing to
                    good to excellent (48900-73400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............60  63  65  66  67  68  70  71  72  72  71
RH..............84  72  65  61  54  51  47  46  44  44  46
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.    10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 2.3 3.4 4.3 5.2 6.1 6.3 6.5 6.8 6.3 5.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.14  13  13  14  14  14  14  13  13  12  9
Mixing wind dir.NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Mixing wind spd.14  13  13  14  14  14  14  13  13  12  9
Haines index....5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100015  27  39  50  61  72  73  73  72  60  49

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 53.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......3600-5300 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1900 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing winds........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (1000-39300 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............70     63     59     57     54     53
RH..............47     62     72     75     83     86
20 ft wind......NW 6   NW 4   N 2    N 2    E 3    E 4
20 ft wind gust.10     5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....5300   1900   300    300    300    300
Transport wind..N 8    NW 7   N 6    N 5    E 7    E 9
Mixing wind.....N 8    NW 7   N 6    N 5    E 7    E 9
Haines index....3      3      3      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100039     12     1      1      2      2

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Temperature.........Max 79.
RH..................Min 47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL increasing to 2800-4300 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 21 mph increasing to 22 to 23 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing winds........South 12 to 21 mph increasing to 22 to 23 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2400-44700 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (56100-86800 knot-ft) in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to or moderate.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Temp............56     64     71     76     78     79
RH..............83     65     55     48     47     49
20 ft wind......SE 5   SE 8   S 10   SE 11  S 12   S 11
20 ft wind gust.       15     20     20     20     20
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1900   3200   4200   4300   3800
Transport wind..SE 12  S 16   S 20   S 22   S 23   S 23
Mixing wind.....SE 12  S 16   S 20   S 22   S 23   S 23
Haines index....5      5      5      4      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/10002      27     56     78     85     77

$$
Forecaster...DEVINNY
Requested by...David Blatz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1711313.0/MPX
.EMAIL david_blatz@fws.gov



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